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New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 11.2 on Oct 20, 14.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheen, 1+ pts | 96% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.9K | |
| Shaheen, 4+ pts | 96% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.3K | |
| Shaheen, 7+ pts | 96% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.9K | |
| Shaheen, 10+ pts | 96% | 4¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.0K | |
| Shaheen, 13+ pts | 77% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 4.7K | |
| Shaheen, 16+ pts | 21% | $4.76 | 3.0K | |||
| Shaheen, 19+ pts | 13% | $7.69 | 454 | |||
| Shaheen, 22+ pts | 9% | 18¢ | $5.56 | 81.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire
Search ›- New Hampshire U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News New Hampshire U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Turning Point USA volunteer speaks out after being slapped by elderly man at New Hampshire polling placeFox News Turning Point USA volunteer speaks out after being slapped by elderly man at New Hampshire polling place Brothers Rainer and Asher Vesey discuss an elderly man slapping Rainer in the face at a New Hampshire polling place on…
- Rob Gronkowski says New Hampshire Election Day visits not linked to Turning Point USA: "It has been upsetting"November 5, 2026 / 12:13 PM EST / CBS Boston Why was former New England Patriots legend Rob Gronkowski visiting polling places in New Hampshire on Election Day? "Gronk" took to social media on Thursday to knock down claims that it was on…
- Navy sailor surprises niece at New Hampshire schoolCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Navy sailor surprises…
- New Hampshire Governor resultsLive results for the 2026 New Hampshire Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Hampshire Governor results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits…
- Nicki Minaj Makes Election Day Appearance at New Hampshire Polling SiteThe rapper has continued to be a staunch fan of President Trump and an ally to the Republican Party. Nicki Minaj made an Election Day appearance at a polling station in Derry, N.H., on Tuesday (Nov. 3). The rapper didn’t make any public…
- What Do Expect From The Folks You Elected, New Hampshire?Send us what you want to see happen now that you – the voters – have spoken. Please Email me today at [email protected]. I’ll post them in a story on InDepthNH.org. Then join us online Tuesday Nov. 10 to hear our thoughts and take…
- Radio Free New Hampshire: ‘When the Ship Comes In’By MICHAEL DAVIDOW, Radio Free New Hampshire ‘When the Ship Comes In’ That’s a Dylan song about the hopes and fears that come with big changes. But I’m referring to something different. Like so many stories, this one comes from the great…
- New Hampshire election resultsLive results for New Hampshire in the 2026 midterm election. Track U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor races with real-time vote counts and maps from AP. New Hampshire election results AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for…
- New Hampshire Republican blames Trump for double-digit defeat in Senate raceHUNT VALLEY, Md. (TNND) — New Hampshire Republican John Sununu, the former senator who failed Tuesday to rejoin the chamber, is blaming President Donald Trump for his double-digit defeat. Sununu's comeback bid came up short by nearly 14…
- North Hampton state rep. throws hat in ring to be next New Hampshire House speakerAfter Tuesday's election, change is coming to the New Hampshire State House, including a new speaker of the House. State Rep. Jim Maggiore, D-North Hampton, announced his candidacy for speaker on Friday. Maggiore said he wants to move away…
- Nicki Minaj Steps Into the Political Spotlight During New Hampshire Midterm ElectionsNicki Minaj made an unexpected appearance at a polling location in New Hampshire on November 3, drawing attention from voters and supporters during the 2026 midterm elections. Her appearance came shortly after she participated in a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions