Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
The odds
24.7median
229
Median 24.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 14.6 on Oct 19, 24.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pou, 8+ pts | 80% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.3K | ||
| Pou, 14+ pts | 80% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 77.00 | |
| Pou, 17+ pts | 80% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 33.00 | |
| Pou, 20+ pts | 80% | 1¢ | $1.25 | 336 | ||
| Pou, 23+ pts | 80% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 10.00 | |
| Pou, 26+ pts | 27% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 106 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Jersey
Search ›- Watch Live: New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill to make major announcement in TrentonNovember 9, 2026 / 10:31 AM EST / CBS Philadelphia New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill is making a major announcement in Trenton on Monday, Nov. 9. She's holding a news conference at 11 a.m. CBS News Philadelphia is livestreaming the news…
- New Jersey House District 9 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe New Jersey House District 9 race has shifted 36.1 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
- New Jersey House District 1 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe New Jersey House District 1 race has shifted 21.74 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
- New Jersey House District 8 Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe New Jersey House District 8 race has shifted 59.53 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
- New Jersey Senate passes bill banning data center-related NDAsStream Now: DCD Cooling Week Bill now goes to NJ Assembly The US state of New Jersey is set to ban non-disclosure agreements (NDAs) around data center development projects. Senate Bill 4304 was passed by the New Jersey Senate late last…
- Governor Mikie Sherrill names Shirley Emehelu as New Jersey's lieutenant governorSherrill appointed Shirley Emehelu to the position at the state Capitol building. Emehelu will also serve as secretary of state. New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill announced her pick for the Garden State's next lieutenant governor on…
- New Jersey Bill Could Roll Back Marijuana Employment ProtectionsLegalizing marijuana was only part of New Jersey’s cannabis experiment. When lawmakers approved recreational use in 2021, they also sought to change how employers treated workers who consumed cannabis during their personal time. Those…
- New Jersey Bill Would Treat AI Chatbots as Products and Impose Strict Liability on Chatbot ProvidersThe bill is not yet law, and none of its requirements is currently in effect; the provisions described below reflect the bill as introduced and may change. The bill defines an “artificial intelligence chatbot” broadly as any “software…
- What’s Open and Closed on Veterans Day 2026 in New JerseyHome » What’s Open and Closed on Veterans Day 2026 in New Jersey Veterans Day falls on Wednesday, Nov. 11, this year, and in New Jersey it closes the post office, state offices and the MVC while most stores stay open. Here is what is open…
- New Jersey residents learn of $26 million theft, but they want to know why they weren’t told until after midterms: “Why is it just now being shared?”A township in New Jersey is facing backlash from residents after disclosing a $26 million theft that occurred weeks before the midterm election. The resident questioned why the fraudulent wire transfer was not disclosed earlier after the…
- New Jersey mayor who charged at resident during council meeting concedes election lossVideo captures Pemberton Township Mayor Matthew Bianchini rushing toward a resident during a heated council meeting before being restrained by others in attendance (Credit: Ryan Elmore/Pine Barrens Tribune via Storyful). The Republican New…
- The Cost of Illegal Immigration in New Jersey Increased by $1 Billion Since 2024, Lawmaker Says in New ReportFive Towns NJ, Jackson Township, New Jersey The second edition of Assemblyman Paul Kanitra’s cost report adds nearly $1 billion to his 2024 estimate. Nonpartisan budget records confirm that state funding for deportation defense more than…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions