Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
14.8median
-228
Median 14.8Middle half 6.83 – 18.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 11.8 on Oct 20, 14.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titus, 1+ pts | 87% | 81¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 5.7K | |
| Titus, 4+ pts | 87% | 16¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 702 | |
| Titus, 7+ pts | 74% | 16¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 266 | |
| Titus, 10+ pts | 74% | 16¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Titus, 13+ pts | 74% | 16¢ | $1.35 | 5.00 | ||
| Titus, 16+ pts | 33% | 30¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 223 | |
| Titus, 19+ pts | 24% | 21¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 237 | |
| Titus, 22+ pts | 17% | $5.88 | 178 | |||
| Titus, 25+ pts | 13% | $7.69 | 57.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada
Search ›- Nevada community hopes Trump will slow expansion of solar farms in their areaApril 1, 2025 / 8:32 PM EDT / CBS News Nevada's wide-open high desert isn't the first place you'd think of for a vineyard, but third-generation farmer Mark Hartman is giving new meaning to the term dry wine on land that's been in his…
- Commentary: Democrats swept Nevada. Now protect all workers.Full disclosure: I serve on the board of the Freelancers Union, which actively advocated for these laws. Nevada already possesses a starting foundation: under a federally approved waiver, the state marketplace provides targeted premium…
- Virginia and Nevada enshrine abortion in their constitutions despite the bishops' campaignVirginia and Nevada approve amendments making abortion a constitutional right. Missouri rejects reinstating its ban and Idaho maintains its prohibition. In Virginia, Question 1 received 62 % of the “yes” votes with 88 % of precincts…
- Nevada Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Inside the blue tsunami that led to Nevada Democrats' best election everOn Election Day, Jenny Blount, 69, walked out of the Downtown Reno library sporting an "I voted" sticker and saying she'd voted for Democrats. Why did she vote blue? "Donald Trump — Donald J. Trump — enough is enough. What you doing? You…
- Nevada Struck Gold? The Inflation Problem Behind the SurplusThe work at Batley station is part of the ongoing Transpennine Route Upgrade. The culture secretary confirms reports they could be in the list of platforms set to be banned next March. Lincoln College Group is joining forces with the…
- OPINION: Poetic justice for Republicans — and an opportunity for Nevada DemocratsIn 2014, Nevada Democrats endured a catastrophic shellacking. They saw all six constitutional offices go red. They witnessed Republicans flip both houses of the state Legislature. They lost a Democratic congressional seat in a gigantic…
- Commentary: So who’s the Nevada Republican leader now? Root?If there are Nevada Republicans who understand the need to reject Trump and Trumpism, now would be an opportune time for them to step up and say so. Better late than never.(Image from a flyer for the Clark County Republican Party Lincoln…
- Nevada 2016 Election ResultsMultiState 2016 results › Nevada Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan…
- 'Oh shit, we won': Inside the perfect storm that flipped Nevada's only GOP House seatThe final two ads of the campaign that would make Teresa Benitez-Thompson the first Democrat ever to win Northern Nevada's 2nd Congressional District were filmed within 72 hours of writing them. In one, the 48-year-old former lawmaker and…
- Democrat Aaron Ford wins 2026 Nevada governor's race, defeating incumbent Gov. Joe LombardoNovember 5, 2026 / 1:54 PM EST / CBS News Democrat Aaron Ford won the Nevada governor's race, CBS News projects, defeating incumbent Gov. Joe Lombardo as the state struggled because of tariffs and a decline in tourism. Ford, who has been…
- Nevada 2020 Election ResultsMultiState 2020 results › Nevada Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions