Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
The odds
4.62median
-121
Median 4.62Middle half 3.79 – 5.45
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.14 on Oct 20, 4.62 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaptur, 1+ pts | 99% | 98¢ | 811 | |||
| Kaptur, 3+ pts | 99% | $1.01 | 7.0K | |||
| Kaptur, 6+ pts | 8% | 3¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.1K | |
| Kaptur, 9+ pts | 8% | 59¢ | $1.69 | 1.8K | ||
| Kaptur, 12+ pts | 8% | 61¢ | $1.64 | 2.2K | ||
| Kaptur, 15+ pts | 8% | 30¢ | $3.33 | 383 | ||
| Kaptur, 18+ pts | 8% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 119 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio
Search ›- Oklahoma tribes say proposed legal changes put ancestral lands in Ohio at riskThe Trump administration has proposed changes to the National Historic Preservation Act that could endanger historic sites significant to tribal nations across the country. Oklahoma tribes say that puts ancestral lands in Ohio at risk…
- Ohio Governor Election Live Results 2026AP News AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…
- Democrats won big in Ohio on working-class issues. Can they deliver?Historians and political scientists say that framing the wins as ‘Ohio’s working class has come home’ is too simple At its peak, the Mahoning valley was once the beating heart of the US’s steel economy – a hardscrabble, heavily unionized…
- JD Vance blames Iran, but Ohio voters saw something far uglierBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The vice president’s…
- Amy Acton reacts to victory in Ohio governor's race, Ramaswamy's "terrible and despicable" adOhio Gov.-elect Amy Acton addresses the controversial ad her Republican opponent Vivek Ramaswamy ran, which featured her estranged mother, and explains how she would handle key issues, including data center concerns, when she's sworn in as…
- Pro-life display at Ohio university targeted by chilling online threat to 'Kirk the anti-abortion table'Students for Life of America Ohio regional coordinator Grace Kimzey tells Fox News Digital how an online post invoking Charlie Kirk's assassination prompted her to contact police. EXCLUSIVE – A pro-life student display at Miami University…
- MUW alumna elected Ohio secretary of stateHome » News » MUW alumna elected Ohio secretary of state During her time at Mississippi University for Women in the 1990s, Allison Russo never dreamed of holding public office. In fact, after a failed campaign during her senior year for…
- Ohio National Guard launches new partnership during inaugural visit to AngolaLUANDA, Angola — Ohio National Guard leaders traveled to Angola from June 29 to July 3, 2026, for the organization’s first official visit since Ohio and Angola were paired through the State Partnership Program. The inaugural delegation met…
- DeSantis nukes ‘tech guy’ Vivek after Ohio drubbing: ‘Not in tune’ with blue-collar votersVivek Ramaswamy addressed supporters at GOP headquarters in Columbus after the gubernatorial race was called for Democrat Amy Acton. Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis blasted failed Ohio Republican gubernatorial candidate Vivek…
- Ohio's most popular midterm Republican says election results hold a warning for DemsOhio's most popular midterm Republican has advice for Democrats now in power, while saying his party needs to refocus its message into a constructive appeal to voters if the GOP hopes to regain the ground it lost on Election Day. Ohio…
- Ohio state senator condemns OSU for keeping Wexner name on buildingsState Sen. Bill DeMora, a Columbus Democrat, is denouncing Ohio State University's decision to keep billionaire donor Les Wexner's name on its buildings. DeMora, whose district includes parts of OSU's campus, released a statement…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions