Oregon's 6th District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $2.3K traded · $836 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

22.2median
434
Median 22.2Middle half 14.6 – 27.4

How the odds have moved

Median: 24.5 on Oct 20, 22.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Salinas, 7+ pts 95% 0¢ 99¢ $1.01 200
Salinas, 10+ pts 95% 8¢ 99¢ $1.01 215
Salinas, 13+ pts 95% 1¢ 99¢ $1.01 25.00
Salinas, 16+ pts 57% $1.75 2.1K
Salinas, 19+ pts 54% $1.85 200
Salinas, 22+ pts 51% $1.96 66.00
Salinas, 25+ pts 36% $2.78 303
Salinas, 28+ pts 23% $4.44 1.5K
Salinas, 31+ pts 23% 20¢ $5.00 738

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oregon

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  • Oregon 2026 Midterm Election Results@foxnews · 37 h agoNov 4 • 1:48 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 6 for Andrea Salinas. Nov 4 • 1:24 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 5 for Janelle Bynum. Nov 4 • 1:09 AM ET AP calls Oregon House District 4 for Val Hoyle. Nov 4 • 12:32 AM ET AP calls…
  • Oregon midterm elections results 2026BBC News · 3 days agoBBC
  • Oregon Governor resultsAP News · 4 days agoLive results for the 2026 Oregon Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
  • Oregon Sues to Stop Trump From Pulling Medicaid Money Over Work RequirementsDaily Tidings · 36 h agoBy Lucille McNamaraNov 8, 2026, 6:24 AM PT Oregon is seeking an urgent injunction to stop the Trump administration from withholding existing Medicaid funding if the state does not implement new work requirements. The requirements of H.R…
  • Managers, supervisors must return to office, district attorney in Oregon county saysABA Journal · 38 h agoJanuary 16, 2025, 9:10 am CST The Multnomah County district attorney’s office in Oregon is now requiring all managers and supervisors to work in person five days per week. (Image from Shutterstock) Vasquez, who was sworn in as Multnomah…
  • Ohio State coach Ryan Day says 'there needs to be accountability' after Oregon lossOmaha World-Herald · 30 h agoIt starts with the staff, says Ohio State coach Ryan Day. © Copyright 2026 Omaha World-Herald, 2301 N 117th Ave., Suite 201 Omaha, NE 68164 A Lee Enterprises, Incorporated newspaper. Majority ... Javascript is required to use this website…
  • Oregon 2020 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days agoMultiState 2020 results › Oregon Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan…
  • Drazan concedes Oregon governor's race to KotekCentral Oregon Daily · 3 days agoCentral Oregon Daily Christine Drazan conceded Oregon's gubernatorial election Friday after updated vote totals showed Gov. Tina Kotek holding a substantial lead. Drazan said the remaining ballots will not change the outcome and wished…
  • EWU drops road game at Oregon, 98-71KXLY kxly.com · 3 days agoKXLY.com Local news coverage from KXLY+ 400-year-old lock code cracked EWU WBB beats UC Davis 76-72 EWU drops road game at Oregon, 98-71 Spokane County Sheriff's Office pays tribute to two deputies who were shot in the line of duty Man who…
  • Oregon sues Trump administration over Medicaid work requirementsCentral Oregon Daily · 3 days agoOregon Attorney General Dan Rayfield speaks during an election night watch party at Hilton Portland Downtown on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, in Portland, Oregon. Oregon on Nov. 5 sued the Trump administration over upcoming changes to Medicaid…
  • Kotek in 2026 election gained voters in NE OregonEast Oregonian · 3 days agoPublished 8:00 pm Friday, November 6, 2026 PENDLETON — Northeastern Oregon is a bastion for Republicans, but Gov. Tina Kotek gained votes overall in the region since the 2022 general election. Republican challenger Christine Drazan’s vote…
  • Oregon U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Oregon U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions