Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory
The odds
23.8median
948
Median 23.8Middle half 19.6 – 30.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.8 on Oct 20, 23.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean, 12+ pts | 91% | 6¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 744 | |
| Dean, 15+ pts | 86% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 180 | ||
| Dean, 18+ pts | 86% | 9¢ | $1.16 | 5.00 | ||
| Dean, 21+ pts | 65% | $1.54 | 890 | |||
| Dean, 24+ pts | 49% | $2.04 | 74.00 | |||
| Dean, 36+ pts | 7% | 30¢ | $3.33 | 237 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania
Search ›- Pennsylvania Turnpike to roll out open road tolling by Jan. 3, 2027CBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am
- Reggie Jackson calls out antisemitism in native Pennsylvania, likens it to 'racism I experienced in the 1960s'Michael Rapaport shares how much speaking out on Jewish hate following October 7th changed his life Baseball Hall of Famer Reggie Jackson called out antisemitism on social media and said it is comparable to the "racism I received in the…
- Pennsylvania leaders condemn planned bike protest by pro-Palestinian groupsState and city officials in Pennsylvania are condemning as antisemitic a planned bike protest in Philadelphia urging boycotts of a half-dozen Jewish-owned restaurants. Officials and critics say the businesses are being targeted because…
- Pennsylvania Republicans blame Washington D.C. for Pennsylvania’s blue wavePennsylvania Republicans suffered losses up and down the ballot on Tuesday. Now, the blame game begins over why Democrats had a successful midterm election. “Despite Senate Republicans having top-tier candidates, the national headwinds —…
- Grassroots Spotlight: Building Grassroots Momentum in Eastern PennsylvaniaMonday, November 9, 2026 Just days after the election, the NRA was hard at work in eastern Pennsylvania at Saints Logistics. Pennsylvania faces a tough road ahead, and preparing for those challenges starts at the grassroots level. NRA…
- Pennsylvania Department of Labor inspects stuffed toys for ChristmasPennsylvania is playing Santa well ahead of Christmas. The US president said he spoke with Jensen Huang on Monday and asked him about the affair with the alleged spy. Investigators said Monday they have recovered the cockpit voice recorder…
- Pennsylvania Democrats Push to Join National Popular Vote CompactPennsylvania's Democratic trifecta is renewing calls for the state to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. The agreement would commit member states to award their electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote…
- Pennsylvania local election coverage, 2026Please complete the Captcha above Pennsylvania local election coverage, 2026 Navigate to Pennsylvania 2026 local election overviews: What's on your ballot? - Partisan balance of mayors in the largest U.S. cities by population - 2026…
- Pennsylvania’s Democratic trifecta renews calls to join National Popular Vote compactPennsylvania State Capitol building in Harrisburg on July 26, 2023. by Peter Hall, Pennsylvania Capital-Star November 9, 2026 Democrats’ midterm victories in Pennsylvania and other swing states have prompted renewed interest in an…
- Democrats Pick Up 4 House Seats in PennsylvaniaPresident Donald Trump took the state in 2024 amid high inflation, and this year voters have been eyeing cost-of-living and gas pump prices. Only 13 percent of voters in the state say they’re doing better financially than they were a year…
- Gaza-Born Democratic Socialist to Challenge Sen. John Fetterman in 2028 Pennsylvania PrimaryMonday, November 9th | 29 Heshvan 5787 A Gaza-born Democratic Socialist has launched a primary challenge against US Sen. John Fetterman, (D-PA), making opposition to American support for Israel a central component of his campaign and…
- Democrats need to earn back Americans' trust: Former Pennsylvania congressmanFox News Democrats need to earn back Americans' trust: Former Pennsylvania congressman Former Pennsylvania Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy analyzes the Democratic Party's gains in statehouses and gubernatorial races following the 2026…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
8%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions