Rhode Island's 2nd District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.5K traded · $493 at stake · prices read 39 min ago

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The odds

21.8median
437
Median 21.8Middle half 15.8 – 31.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 21.9 on Oct 20, 21.8 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Magaziner, 7+ pts 98% 6¢ 99¢ $1.01 60.00
Magaziner, 10+ pts 95% 1¢ 99¢ $1.01 220
Magaziner, 13+ pts 91% 9¢ $1.10 5.00
Magaziner, 16+ pts 74% $1.35 20.00
Magaziner, 22+ pts 49% $2.04 1.1K
Magaziner, 25+ pts 39% $2.56 1.2K
Magaziner, 31+ pts 27% $3.70 706
Magaziner, 34+ pts 9% $11.36 20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Rhode Island

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  • War Secretary Pete Hegseth Speaks to Reporters in Newport, Rhode IslandNTD · 8 h agoSecretary of War Pete Hegseth speaks to reporters in Newport, Rhode Island, following his visit to the U.S. Naval War College. What would you like to watch today? War Secretary Pete Hegseth Speaks to Reporters in Newport, Rhode Island…
  • Defense Secretary Hegseth visits Rhode Island as calls for impeachment strengthenWJAR · 15 h ago(WJAR) — Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is expected to speak at the Naval War College in Newport on Monday. The Rhode Island visit comes as talks of impeaching him have ramped up since the blue wave in last week’s midterms. Republicans…
  • Rhode Island Blood Center workers seek union election over staffing and pay concernsYahoo News · 25 h agoJustin Madden works as a driver for the Rhode Island Blood Center, helping to set up, operate and take down the mobile blood drives that pop up across the Ocean State. "We have a very important job," Madden said in a recent phone…
  • Protesters call for transparency from Rhode Island EnergyWJAR · 2 days agoby CATE HANEWICH, NBC 10 NEWS WARWICK, R.I. (WJAR) — A group of protesters gathered outside the Rhode Island Public Utilities Commission on Saturday afternoon, calling for transparency from Rhode Island Energy. NBC 10's Cate Hanewich spoke…
  • Rhode Island 2016 Election ResultsMultiState Elections · 3 days agoMultiState 2016 results › Rhode Island Another state… Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts…
  • TGIF: Ian Donnis’ Rhode Island politics roundup for Nov. 6, 2026Ocean State Media · 3 days agoThe Graduate (fka Biltmore) being up for auction right after it hosted a big election night celebration of Democrats is indeed a full Rhode Island. Thanks for stopping by. You can follow me through the week on Bluesky, Threads and X. My…
  • Rhode Island GOP boss on election losses: Don't look at meWJAR · 3 days agoPeriods of heavy rain will impact the region through the rest of Friday. Localized flooding is possible, with 2-4 inches of rain expected. (WJAR) — The leader of Rhode Island’s Republican Party is not taking the blame for an election…
  • Rhode Island's senators set to wield more clout in Democrat controlled CongressWJAR · 3 days agoPeriods of heavy rain will impact the region through the rest of Friday. Localized flooding is possible, with 2-4 inches of rain expected. U.S. Sen. Jack Reed is in line to chair the Armed Services Committee and U.S. Sen. Sheldon…
  • Who runs Rhode Island? Soon, more women than ever.BostonGlobe.com · 3 days agoPROVIDENCE – When Kim Ahern emerged to make her victory speech Tuesday night after being elected Rhode Island’s next attorney general, flanked by her wife and three daughters, Beyoncé’s feminist anthem blasted to the crowd: “Who run the…
  • The Rhode Island angle to the Trump/Colorado ballot sagaBostonGlobe.com · 3 days agoThe only woman ever elected to Congress from Rhode Island is among the plaintiffs in the lawsuit that the Colorado Supreme Court ruled on this week when it issued a landmark decision removing former president Donald Trump from the state’s…
  • Do you feel better or worse about Rhode Island’s direction following the general election?Providence Business News · 3 days agoPolitical leadership change is coming in Rhode Island, Congress and states across the country following the Nov. 3 election. Does it change how you feel about Rhode Island’s future? By Emilio DiSpirito IV License Partner | Private Office…
  • Too Few Republicans Force Rhode Island Rules ChangePolitical Wire · 3 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194 “There will be so few Republicans in the Rhode Island Senate come January that the chamber will have to change its rules requiring one GOP member on every Senate committee,” Ocean State Media reports…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions