Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
South Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
29.4median
2252
Median 29.4Middle half 28.6 – 30.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 37.6 on Oct 19, 29.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggs, 25+ pts | 99% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 4.3K | |
| Biggs, 28+ pts | 92% | $1.09 | 3.00 | |||
| Biggs, 31+ pts | 4% | $23.42 | 57.00 | |||
| Biggs, 34+ pts | 4% | ▲ 4 | 10¢ | $10.10 | 1.6K | |
| Biggs, 37+ pts | 1% | 24¢ | $4.17 | 1.4K | ||
| Biggs, 40+ pts | 1% | 23¢ | $4.35 | 3.9K | ||
| Biggs, 43+ pts | 1% | 26¢ | $3.85 | 24.4K | ||
| Biggs, 46+ pts | 1% | 26¢ | $3.85 | 10.5K | ||
| Biggs, 49+ pts | 1% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina
Search ›- How Annie Andrews won in South CarolinaSteve Kornacki breaks down the midterm election in South Carolina, where Democrat Annie Andrews is projected by NBC News to win the Senate seat — and how evangelical Christian counties that are reliably red, but where late Senator Lindsey…
- Democrat Nancy Lacore wins election to U.S. House in South Carolina's 1st Congressional DistrictThe Washington Post Democrat Nancy Lacore won election Friday to the U.S. House of Representatives representing South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, defeating Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt
- Fired Navy Admiral Flips Deep-Red South Carolina SeatA Navy admiral ousted by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth successfully flipped one of South Carolina's red strongholds, the Hill reports. Nancy Lacore, a Democrat and former... Fired Navy Admiral Flips Deep-Red South Carolina Seat A Navy…
- South Carolina U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News South Carolina U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- South Carolina Republicans Fracture Over Stunning Upset“As Republicans sift through the wreckage of a historic midterm drubbing, one state has especially rankled them: South Carolina,” the New York Times reports. “It was among the most conservative states to elect a Democratic senator in a sea…
- Republicans Lose Trump +13 South Carolina Seat To Admiral Fired By HegsethRepublicans just lost a South Carolina congressional district that President Trump carried by 13 points. Retired Navy Vice Adm. Nancy Lacore defeated Republican Jenny Costa Honeycutt in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District…
- South Carolina’s Black vote turned out at presidential levels. Can Democrats stay engaged for 2028?COLUMBIA — Nearly as many Black voters cast a ballot in South Carolina's Nov. 3 midterm elections as did in the 2024 presidential contest, a turnout level that helped power Democrats into upset wins at most every level of government. Their…
- Can a car manufacturer like Scout Motors sell vehicles directly to consumers in South Carolina, bypassing franchised dealers?Requested by The Honorable Shane Massey, Member, South Carolina Senate. Senator Shane Massey asked the South Carolina Attorney General whether a car maker, distributor, or wholesaler can sell directly to South Carolina buyers and skip the…
- How did Republicans lose a Senate seat in fireball-red South Carolina?Bitter postmortem under way as party comes to terms with Darline Graham’s stunning loss to Annie Andrews It’s not that Shane Brown somehow didn’t know about the US Senate election in South Carolina. Nor was he unaware that the outcome of…
- South Carolina governors discuss bringing civility back to politicsWIS News 10 South Carolina governors discuss bringing civility back to politics Former South Carolina governors discuss future of political careers Former South Carolina governors of different political parties share same endorsement…
- Former South Carolina governors discuss future of political careersWIS News 10 Former South Carolina governors discuss future of political careers South Carolina governors discuss bringing civility back to politics Former South Carolina governors of different political parties share same endorsement…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions