Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
South Dakota margin of victory
The odds
26.5median
737
Median 26.5Middle half 25.7 – 27.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 23.2 on Oct 19, 26.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackley, 10+ pts | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | 29.9K | ||
| Jackley, 13+ pts | >99% | 81¢ | 39.4K | |||
| Jackley, 16+ pts | >99% | 81¢ | 4.0K | |||
| Jackley, 19+ pts | >99% | ▲ 7 | 100¢ | 1.9K | ||
| Jackley, 22+ pts | 98% | 91¢ | $1.02 | 3.0K | ||
| Jackley, 25+ pts | 98% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | $1.02 | 14.1K | |
| Jackley, 28+ pts | <1% | 1.7K | ||||
| Jackley, 31+ pts | <1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 1.2K | ||
| Jackley, 34+ pts | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota
Search ›- 2026 South Dakota Amendment I Election Live ResultsAP News South Dakota Amendment I results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
- 'Citizen warriors' form backbone of South Dakota National GuardMaj. Gen. Mark Morrell may have traveled the country and the world during his 27 years of service, but he has spent much of his military career in the Rushmore State, where he now serves as the adjutant general of the South Dakota National…
- Know Your Rights: What South Dakota Voters Need to Know About Election Safety, Missing IDs, and Polling RulesKOTA Territory News Know Your Rights: What South Dakota Voters Need to Know About Election Safety, Missing IDs, and Polling Rules How to Properly Dispose of Pumpkins, Costumes, and Holiday Lights in Rapid City Free rides, free parking…
- South Dakota and Minnesota Senators Introduce RANCH Act to Expand Grazing Land by 20 million AcresSouth Dakota ranchers are hoping to see action from Congress on a bill to turn more row crops into pasture. It’s called the Rebuilding america’s National Cow Herd Act…or the RANCH act. Senators Mike ... South Dakota and Minnesota Senators…
- South Dakota Senate Leadership NamedPIERRE - The newly-elected Senate Republican caucus met November 6, 2026, to determine legislative leadership for the 2027-2028 Legislative term. The ... PIERRE â The newly-elected Senate Republican caucus met November 6, 2026, to…
- South Dakota legislative look-aheadRapid City, South Dakota | News, Weather and Sports NewsCenter1 South Dakota legislative look-ahead Local legislators reveal what's top of mind before the start of the 2027 state legislative session As we look ahead to the upcoming South…
- Pendulum continues to swing in South Dakota Senate with selection of new Republican leadersAn anticipated shakeup in South Dakota's Republican legislative leadership began Friday. Republican senators nominated Tim Reed of Brookings as president pro tempore and selected Casey Crabtree of Madison as majority leader and Amber Hulse…
- Crabtree in, Karr out: South Dakota Senate Republicans reshuffle leadership ahead of 2027 sessionGOP caucus picks Sen. Tim Reed as president pro tempore; Sen. Amber Hulse to serve as assistant leader as Sen. Casey Crabtree returns to leader post Correction: An earlier version of this article connected Sen. Amber Hulse with the…
- While 'blue wave' didn't reach South Dakota statewide races, Dems see promise in legislative resultsSouth Dakota Democratic candidates running for statewide office got swept by Republicans. But in legislative races Dems pushed to flip seats for the first time in years, cutting into one of the country’s darkest red supermajorities…
- South Dakota U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News South Dakota U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
- Republicans Kassin, Redler win South Dakota House District 17 seatsFour compete for two seats in S.D. House District 17 Sioux City Journal Javascript is required to use this website. Republicans swept the two open seats in South Dakota House District 17. People are also reading⦠- Sioux City woman…
- South Dakota Attorney General Jackley Wins Election To The US HouseSouth Dakota’s Republican attorney general was elected to the state’s only U.S. House seat on Tuesday. Jackley will take over in January for the departing Republican Rep. Dusty Johnson, who unsuccessfully sought the Republican nomination…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions