Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
The odds
5.93median
-129
Median 5.93Middle half 4.36 – 6.99
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.26 on Oct 20, 5.93 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatcher, 2+ pts | 86% | 3¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.8K | |
| Hatcher, 5+ pts | 72% | 5¢ | $1.39 | 949 | ||
| Hatcher, 8+ pts | 1% | $76.92 | 500 | |||
| Hatcher, 11+ pts | 1% | $76.92 | 73.00 | |||
| Hatcher, 20+ pts | 1% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 906 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee
Search ›- Tennessee Governor resultsLive results for the 2026 Tennessee Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For…
- Tim Burchett says he would 'absolutely' take on Tennessee senator role©2026 Fox News Network, LLC. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. All market data delayed 20 minutes. Tim Burchett says he would 'absolutely' take on Tennessee senator role Rep…
- Historic flooding inundates Georgia and Tennessee, prompting rescuesCBS News Historic flooding slams Georgia, Tennessee Amy Acton on winning Ohio, Ramaswamy ad Actor Anthony Ippolito talks "I Play Rocky" Tips to build confidence and release anxiety Backlash to Newsom's clemency plans Investigators uncover…
- Tennessee U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsThe Tennessee Senate race has shifted 17.55 points toward Democrats compared with the 2024 presidential election. See the county-by-county breakdown below. Shift to Democrats Shift to Republicans ... After a historic wave of Democratic…
- Tennessee Democrat Ousts Anti-LGBTQ HypocriteNovember 4, 2026 Congress, Democrats The Nashville Banner reports: How did Victoria Broderick’s stunning win feel? “Pure joy.” Republican Rep. Scott DesJarlais lost his bid for a ninth term representing Tennessee’s 4th Congressional…
- Watch: Dangerous flooding hits Georgia, TennesseeCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Dangerous flooding…
- Tennessee lawmakers push for Dolly Parton statueOne of Tennessee's most beloved daughters could be immortalized on the state capitol grounds. The disgraced entertainer was sentenced on Monday following a four-week trial at Southwark Crown Court. The effort will likely fail, but…
- Macrons sue far-right podcaster Candace Owens personally in TennesseeThe latest move by the French president and his wife comes after a court in Delaware ruled it only had jurisdiction over Owens’ corporations registered in the state. PARIS — French President Emmanuel Macron and his wife, Brigitte, filed a…
- ‘A complete surprise’: A Tennessee GOP stronghold turns on the partyUS President Donald Trump and US Senator Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) hug during a Republican campaign rally at F&M Bank Arena in Clarksville, Tennessee, US, October 10, 2026. REUTERS/Eric Lee The top Tennessee Republican received nearly 1…
- Tennessee breaking ground on youth correctional facilitiesTennessee is facing some pushback as it prepares to break ground on more youth correctional facilities. Northern Ireland Secretary of State Chris Bryant and Taoiseach Micheál Martin attended the service in Enniskillen. Lisa Nandy tells the…
- Hegseth not being considered for Blackburn's Tennessee Senate seatWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Grassroots Favorite Sets Sights on Marsha Blackburn’s Tennessee Senate Seat [WATCH]U.S. Rep. Tim Burchett has made his intentions clear about Tennessee’s coming U.S. Senate vacancy, signaling that he is prepared to pursue the seat after Senator Marsha Blackburn takes office as governor. Burchett, a Republican who…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions