Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Utah's 1st District margin of victory
The odds
34.6median
1738
Median 34.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 32.8 on Oct 20, 34.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAdams, 20+ pts | 93% | 0¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 405 | |
| McAdams, 23+ pts | 93% | 3¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 127 | |
| McAdams, 26+ pts | 81% | $1.23 | 625 | |||
| McAdams, 29+ pts | 75% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 7.00 | ||
| McAdams, 32+ pts | 65% | 6¢ | $1.54 | 15.00 | ||
| McAdams, 35+ pts | 48% | 4¢ | $2.08 | 24.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Utah
Search ›- The fate of this Utah library might be decided by 300 votesThe fate of the Cache County Library rests on a few hundred votes. The future of the small building, nestled on a quiet street in Providence, has been in question since last year, when Cache County Executive George Daines recommended the…
- A new poll shows Utah mirrors the nation on attitudes toward deportationUtah has long been an outlier among red states on immigration issues. A new poll from the Deseret News and the Hinckley Institute of Politics suggests that distinction may be fading — especially when voters are broken down by gender and…
- Utah Majority, Minority Caucus elects new leadershipSALT LAKE CITY (KUTV) — The Utah Majority Caucus elected new leadership for the 67th Legislature. The Utah Senate Majority selected the following representatives: Sen. Vickers said he wants to "build on the Senate's strengths and make it…
- Voices: How Utah law enforcement can avoid politics and provide leadership on immigration enforcement(Alex Brandon | AP) U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Baltimore Field Officer director Matt Elliston listens during a briefing, Monday, Jan. 27, 2025, in Silver Spring, Md. Utah law enforcement leaders have offered only limited…
- Letter: John Curtis joins Mike Lee and Spencer Cox in Utah’s hypocrite hall of fame(Allison Robbert | The New York Times) Sen. John Curtis, R-Utah, is shown on Capitol Hill in Washington, on Wednesday, Aug. 5, 2026. On election night, Sen. John Curtis called for Republicans to return to their roots, find their souls and…
- Utah suburb eyes ban on chain-link fences to preserve its beauty ‘years, decades, centuries’ down the line(Francisco Kjolseth | The Salt Lake Tribune) West Valley City is considering a ban on new chain-link fences. West Valley City Council member Lars Nordfelt doesn’t like chain-link fences, so he and his colleagues are moving to ban new ones…
- After the 'blue wave,' new leadership is chosen on Utah's Capitol HillSALT LAKE CITY, Utah — The "blue wave" that swept across the country may have also broken the Republican supermajority's hold on Utah's Capitol Hill. On Friday night, lawmakers met in closed caucus meetings to choose their new leadership…
- The blue wave crashed into a Utah county that hadn’t elected a Democrat to its council in 20 years(Trent Nelson | The Salt Lake Tribune) The Old Cache County Courthouse in Logan. The County Council will get two Democratic members. Mark Nafziger wasn’t expecting to win his race. The Cache County Democrat was running against Republican…
- Utah Senate GOP selects Vickers as president after election shakeupSALT LAKE CITY, Utah, Nov. 6, 2026 (Gephardt Daily) — Utah Senate Republicans have selected Sen. Evan Vickers as their next president after Democratic gains in Tuesday’s election unseated Majority Leader Kirk Cullimore, a contender for the…
- Utah pauses Sugar House liquor store project after neighborhood concernsUtah pauses Sugar House liquor store project after neighborhood concerns
- Utah—Yes, Utah—Sends a Democrat to Congress“We’re coming for you,” Utah GOP Chair Rob Axson warned the judges during the party’s state nominating convention in April. “Go find a job in the private sector. We don’t want you anymore.” As I explained in June: McAdams’ victory may be…
- 'Pretty exhausted': Utah communities seek federal flood help after emergency declarationSALT LAKE CITY — An emergency declaration issued by Utah Gov. Spencer Cox on Friday will allow the state to mobilize additional resources to support local recovery efforts and request federal and interstate assistance if needed. The state…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions