Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
47.8median
2062
Median 47.8Middle half 45.5 – 53.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.5 on Oct 20, 47.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott, 23+ pts | 99% | 88¢ | $1.01 | 11.00 | ||
| Scott, 26+ pts | 99% | 83¢ | $1.01 | 21.00 | ||
| Scott, 29+ pts | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 21.00 | ||
| Scott, 32+ pts | 99% | 89¢ | $1.01 | 31.00 | ||
| Scott, 35+ pts | 98% | 91¢ | $1.02 | 4.8K | ||
| Scott, 38+ pts | 98% | 60¢ | $1.02 | 438 | ||
| Scott, 41+ pts | 98% | 60¢ | $1.02 | 821 | ||
| Scott, 44+ pts | 98% | 60¢ | $1.02 | 368 | ||
| Scott, 47+ pts | 52% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 100 | ||
| Scott, 50+ pts | 44% | $2.27 | 152 | |||
| Scott, 56+ pts | 11% | $9.09 | 35.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia
Search ›- West Virginia Historical Races2022 West Virginia House Results In Numerical Order - By District ... West Virginia Historical Races 2020 West Virginia Presidential Results 2020 West Virginia Senate Results 2022 West Virginia House Results 2020 West Virginia Governor…
- Virginia ripped up its gay marriage ban. They remember when it passed.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Some conservatives say…
- Former West Virginia governor and senator Jay Rockefeller dies at 89Washington Examiner Jay Rockefeller, a former Democratic governor and senator of West Virginia, has died at age 89. The former politician died at his home in Washington, D.C., on Friday. His family did not provide a cause of death. Jim…
- Trump’s failures put Virginia Foxx’s safe seat in jeopardyWashington Examiner In 2024, Rep. Virginia Foxx (R-NC) defeated Democrat Chuck Hubbard by 75,914 votes. Two years later, Hubbard leads her by just 99. The unofficial results remain subject to outstanding ballots and a possible recount…
- Jay Rockefeller, former West Virginia governor and U.S. senator, dies at 89November 6, 2026 / 10:04 AM EST / AP Jay Rockefeller, who served as West Virginia's governor and U.S. senator and was the last member of his family's political dynasty, has died at the age of 89. He died Thursday night at his home in…
- Former US senator and West Virginia governor Jay Rockefeller dies at 89Fox News Channel offers its audiences in-depth news reporting, along with opinion and analysis encompassing the principles of free people, free markets and diversity of thought, as an alternative to the left-of-center offerings of the news…
- Watch CNBC’s full interview with former Virginia Gov. Glenn YoungkinCNBC Watch CNBCâs full interview with former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin
- Jay Rockefeller, former West Virginia governor and US senator who was part of a dynasty, dies at 89Jay Rockefeller, the last member of his family’s political dynasty — and the only Democrat — who served as West Virginia’s governor and later a longtime US senator, has died. He was 89. Rockefeller died Thursday night at his home in…
- Two Virginia counties break Republican voting streaksFor seven elections, two Virginia counties backed Republicans in the race at the top of their ballots. Tuesday’s unofficial results put both narrowly on the Democratic side. Accomack and Lancaster counties favored Democratic U.S. Sen. Mark…
- Democrats win two of three battleground House seats in VirginiaBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Democrats Shannon…
- 2026 Virginia Question 3 Election Live ResultsAP News Virginia Question 3 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell…
- In a West Virginia county of 6,540, accountability journalism gets personalDan Parks is the founder and editor of Country Roads, a Substack publication that serves Tucker County, West Virginia. A couple of weeks before the midterm elections, he was facing an ethical dilemma. A public records request for the…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions