Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
49%Carl, 24+ pts
2160
Install
Wyoming margin of victory
The odds
1%Gray, 25+ pts
2252
How the odds have moved
Gray, 25+ pts: 79% on Oct 20, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 1 PM ETGray, 25+ pts: 62% → 17%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray, 25+ pts | 1% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 18.8K | ||
| Gray, 28+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 28.3K | ||
| Gray, 31+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.7K | ||
| Gray, 34+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $83.33 | 15.1K | ||
| Gray, 37+ pts | 1% | 1¢ | $83.33 | 12.3K | ||
| Gray, 40+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.1K | ||
| Gray, 43+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.7K | ||
| Gray, 46+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 20.1K | ||
| Gray, 49+ pts | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming
Search ›- Could Wyoming become blue like Texas?CASPER — The "Blue Wave" may not have washed out Wyoming, but no part of the state was unaffected: every county, and particularly Natrona County, voted more Democratic than two years ago. Politicos predicted going into Election Day that…
- By The Numbers: Wyoming's Most Libertarian Counties Are Natrona And FremontThe two most Libertarian counties in Wyoming are Natrona and Fremont, according to data from the 2026 election and voter registration. Also, the Libertarian candidate performed better than any Libertarian in Wyoming’s U.S. House race in at…
- Wyoming trona workers demonstrate amid pending layoffs: 'Lives are at risk here'WyoFile now provides Al-generated audio versions of all articles.Feel free to send feedback to [email protected] Trona workers and their spouses, children and more than 100 community members protested at the break of dawn Monday to show…
- Wyoming Eyeing 'Chunks' Of State And Federal Land For Proposed Military BaseThe Wyoming Military Department's adjutant general told lawmakers Monday a task force is eyeing at least four "chunks" of public land for a new military base. The state is participating in the Trump administration’s Next Great American…
- Idaho Votes For Model 1873 Winchester As State Gun — What Would Wyoming Choose?Idaho became the 12th state to approve an official state gun last week. Wyoming has yet to do so but Bob Budd says the Model 1894 Winchester rifle might be a good fit. "You can’t find an old Wyoming family that doesn’t have at least one,”…
- Joan Barron: The Big Blue Wave Skips WyomingColumnist Joan Barron writes, “Wyoming emerged as still a very red MAGA state, backing President Donald Trump. The needle might be quivering a bit, but it still is very much where it has been stuck in recent years. There was no GOP rout…
- Barlow outlines priorities for Wyoming following election victorySen. Eric Barlow, R-Gillette in the Senate Chambers Feb. 11, 2026 in Cheyenne. Barlow will be sworn in as Wyoming's governor in January. TORRINGTON – Following his victory in Tuesday's general election, Wyoming Gov.-elect Eric Barlow is…
- Wyoming State Canvassing Board to meet for 2026 general electionCHEYENNE – The Wyoming State Canvassing Board will convene at 10 a.m. Tuesday, Nov. 10 to certify the 2026 general election results. The meeting will take place at 200 W. 24th St. in the Capitol Complex Auditorium, Capitol Building…
- Plympton-Wyoming launches online service request portalPlympton-Wyoming residents can now report municipal concerns and follow service requests online through a new CityWide portal, the town says. Plympton-Wyoming has launched an online portal for residents to report municipal concerns…
- Republicans swept Wyoming, but voters here swung left compared to 2024WyoFile now provides Al-generated audio versions of all articles.Feel free to send feedback to [email protected] Although the blue wave that delivered one of the largest midterm election landslides in decades largely spared Wyoming…
- Hageman calls for bipartisan action on Wyoming housing and infrastructureIn part two of an exclusive interview with Your Wyoming Link's Amber Wyatt, Wyoming Senator-elect Harriet Hageman argues that federal restrictions on timber harvesting have contributed to rising housing costs and increased reliance on…
- Opinion | How to grade the next Congress on Wyoming’s cost of livingWyoFile WyoFile now provides Al-generated audio versions of all articles.Feel free to send feedback to [email protected] I ran for Wyoming’s U.S. House as a Republican in this year’s primary. Now my wife and I have a newborn son, and we’re…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
6.45median
-132
Median 6.45Middle half 5.52 – 7.38
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
7%Strong, 10+ pts
737
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
48%Palmer, 18+ pts
1548
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
32.6median
948
Median 32.6Middle half 30.3 – 36
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
37.4median
2451
Median 37.4Middle half 33.9 – 45.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions