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Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.33M on Oct 20, 9.72M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 8.20M | 100% | 99¢ | 2.0K | |||
| Above 8.80M | 100% | 99¢ | 9.9K | |||
| Above 9.40M | 100% | 99¢ | 13.5K | |||
| Above 10.00M | 8% | ▲ 3 | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 121.3K |
| Above 10.30M | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 14.1K |
| Above 10.60M | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 28.2K |
| Above 11.20M | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 46.5K | ||
| Above 11.80M | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.2K | ||
| Above 12.40M | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.2K | ||
| Above 12.90M | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.1K | ||
| Above 13.50M | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Senate General
Search ›- US Midterm Elections 2026: Texas Senate Race Sets Record With $573 Million In Campaign Advertising SpendingWashington DC: The Texas Senate contest has become the most expensive non-presidential race in American electoral history, with political advertising spending and reservations reaching a record USD 573 million, according to advertising…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions