Predictions › Elections odds Every Senate market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
7,691 open markets · $13.9M traded today
None 98% AK 2% ▲ 1 All 7 <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% ▼ 1 124 more AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, OH, TX <1% ▼ 2 AK, IA, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, TX <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, ME, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, KS, ME, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI <1% IA, KS, ME, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH <1% KS, ME, MI, TX <1% KS, ME, OH, TX <1%
Scott Colom 99% Cindy Hyde-Smith 1%
Democratic party 98% ▲ 1 Republican party 2% ▼ 1
Mary Peltola 99% ▲ 1 Sen. Dan Sullivan 1% ▼ 1 Ann Diener <1% Dustin Darden <1% 3 more Richard Grayson <1% Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1% David Leslie <1%
Scott Colom (D) 99% Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 1%
44.5 52.5
Median 52.0 Middle half 51.7 – 52.2
44.5 57.5
Median 45.1 Middle half 44.8 – 45.3
Chuck Schumer 89% ▼ 1 Chris Van Hollen 10% ▲ 3 Brian Schatz 1% ▼ 1 Chris Murphy 1% 9 more Mark Warner <1% Cory Booker <1% Raphael Warnock <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Tammy Baldwin <1% Jon Ossoff <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Jacky Rosen <1%
Chuck Schumer 90% ▼ 3 Chris Van Hollen 8% ▲ 3 Brian Schatz 2% ▼ 1 John Thune <1% 7 more John Barrasso <1% Steve Daines <1% Tom Cotton <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Cory Booker <1% Mark Kelly <1%
52.5 57.5
Median 56.0 Middle half 55.7 – 56.3
0 17
Median 7.48 Middle half 7.21 – 7.75
45 59
Median 56.5 Middle half 56.2 – 56.8
Chuck Schumer 86% ▼ 4 Chris Van Hollen 12% ▲ 6 Brian Schatz 1% John Thune <1% 2 more Tom Cotton <1% John Barrasso <1%
Mary Peltola 98% ▲ 1 Dan Sullivan 2% ▼ 1 Daniel J. Sullivan <1% Gerald Heikes <1% 3 more Ann Diener <1% Richard Grayson <1% Sid Hill <1%
0 23
Median 20.0 Middle half 19.5 – 20.5
Talarico 12%+ 96% ▲ 1 Talarico 9-12% 4% Paxton 0-3% <1% Paxton 12%+ <1% 6 more Paxton 9-12% <1% Paxton 6-9% <1% Paxton 3-6% <1% Talarico 0-3% <1% Talarico 3-6% <1% Talarico 6-9% <1%
John Thune 80% ▼ 13 Tom Cotton 7% ▲ 6 Rick Scott 7% ▲ 6 John Barrasso 3% ▲ 2 5 more Patty Murray <1% Mark Kelly <1% Chuck Schumer <1% Brian Schatz <1% Cory Booker <1%
Democratic party 88% ▼ 1 Republican party 12%
0 15
Median 5.54 Middle half 5.25 – 5.82
President 63% ▲ 5 Senate 34% ▼ 7 Neither 3% ▼ 1 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions