US nominal GDP growth in 2027
5%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 5%
Install
US nominal GDP growth in 2026
The odds
56%Above 6.0%
-0.5%6.5%
How the odds have moved
Above 0.0%: 98% on Oct 7, 98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 0.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 1.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 1.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 2.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 2.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 3.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 3.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 4.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| Above 4.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 490 | ||
| Above 5.0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 37.00 | ||
| Above 5.5% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 130 | ||
| Above 6.0% | 56% | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth
Search ›- NI economic growth rate 'needs to double' for unificationThe average growth rate of the Northern Ireland economy would have to more than double to make Irish unification economically sustainable, a new report suggests. The analysis has been produced as part of "blueprint" on Irish unity…
- Workers' rights 'second place' to economic growthVideo, 00:00:40Workers' rights 'second place' to economic growth Up Next. Watch: How rapist Brand was never far from controversy. Video, 00:01:29Watch: How rapist Brand was never far from controversy Trump reacts to US midterm results…
- Data centers are unpopular — and a key motor of economic growth, experts sayNovember 6, 2026 / 3:50 PM EST / CBS News The shifting political winds surrounding data centers could buffet the entire U.S. economy, reducing investment in artificial intelligence and slowing growth, according to Wall Street analysts…
- Sexual Freedom and Its Impact on Economic Growth and ProsperityThe mission of the Independent Institute is to boldly advance peaceful, prosperous, and free societies grounded in a commitment to human worth and dignity. Sexual Freedom and Its Impact on Economic Growth and Prosperity In his notorious…
- Renewable Policies Outperform Carbon Pricing in Decoupling European Economic Growth From EmissionsAn econometric panel study of European Union nations indicates that renewable energy policies decoupled economic growth from emissions more effectively than carbon pricing between 1996 and 2014. Subject of Research: Econometric evaluation…
- City economic growth gets boostBLUEFIELD â A new federal Opportunity Zone designation approved for Bluefield will open the door to new economic development opportunities for the downtown area and elsewhere in the city, including ATV growth near Kee Dam. Gov. Patrick…
- Unlocking the African diaspora's financial capital for economic growthOn Monday, November 16 at 9:30 a.m. ET, the Atlantic Council’s Africa Center will host a conversation on mobilizing the African diaspora’s capital at scale to unlock investment opportunities across the continent. By registering to attend…
- Jay Rockefeller remembered for bringing Toyota to W.Va., fueling state's economic growthPUTNAM COUNTY, W.Va. (WCHS) — Perhaps one of Sen. Jay Rockefeller's biggest economic accomplishments was bringing the Toyota manufacturing plant to Putnam County. Today, Toyota is one of the region's top employers and a major economic…
- Zambia aims for 4.9% economic growth in 2027, finance minister saysTradingView Zambia aims for 4.9% economic growth in 2027, finance minister says
- Argentina aims to revive economic growthLatinFinance Register now and get 1 free PRO article every week. Thank you for registering! Get daily transaction coverage from across the region Enter the code sent to your email We'll send a verification code to %EMAIL%.
- TVET MUST DRIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH –MINISTER OWEN TELLS ECOT GRADUANDSMBABANE – Minister of Education and Training Owen Nxumalo has challenged the country to change its perception of Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET), insisting that it must be recognised as a central pillar of economic…
- Science Minister visits York to discuss regional innovation and economic growthChanging lives for the better through academic excellence and bold, creative thinking. A member of the Russell Group, we're a research-intensive university founded on excellence, equality and opportunity for all. Learn about the University…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US nominal GDP growth in 2028
4.4%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 4.4%Middle half 3.06% – 5.75%
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
4.3%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 4.3%Middle half 3% – 5.63%
US nominal GDP growth in 2030
4.27%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 4.27%Middle half 2.93% – 5.64%
US nominal GDP growth in 2031
4.3%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 4.3%Middle half 2.93% – 5.63%
US nominal GDP growth in 2032
4.25%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 4.25%Middle half 2.88% – 5.57%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions