Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY? (2026)

Kalshi Economy Closes Feb 26, 2027 · $22.1K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 36 min ago

The odds

81%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 53% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	81%		80¢	81¢	$1.23	27.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Pennsylvania

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Pennsylvania reports 6th measles-related deathCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting…
Pennsylvania reports 6th measles-associated deathThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post Pennsylvania health officials on Wednesday reported a sixth measles-associated death this year, as the state confronts the nation’s largest measles outbreak. The state health department said the person was an…
Latest 2026 Pennsylvania election resultsCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Minnesota: Voters…
Pennsylvania's potential blue waveNBC News · 6 days agoNBC News
Breaking down results in Pennsylvania's midterm electionsCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Breaking down results in Pennsylvania's midterm elections Preparations underway for Light Up Night in Pittsburgh Serial killer was active in the Pittsburgh area in the late '70s, police say Head of nonprofit charged with theft and…
Previewing Pennsylvania's 2026 midterm electionsCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Previewing…
Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro talks landslide reelectionCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Gov. Josh Shapiro…
Pennsylvania election live results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Justice Department…
Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District election results 2026The Washington Post · 6 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Now Democratsâ blue…
Pennsylvania U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 6 days agoAP News Pennsylvania U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
Pennsylvania reporting early spike in flu casesCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Boston: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Miami: Voters Decide CBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News New York: Voters Decide CBS News Philadelphia: Voters Decide CBS…
2026 Pennsylvania Midterm Election ResultsAP News · 7 days agoAP News AP’s guide to this state When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply tell you…

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CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.2%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%

Economy › Jobs

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

456,512median

445,000465,000

Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238

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Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.18%median

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Median 0.18%Middle half 0.12% – 0.24%

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Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

83,963median

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Energy Information Administration

Trading closesFeb 26, 2027 9:59 AM ET

Traded$22.1K (27,416 contracts)

This week$2.3K

At stake$2.1K

In the news54 headlines today, 916 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If EIA reports Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for calendar year 2026 is above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions