Fed Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▲ 3
- No change19%▼ 4
- 25 bps decrease1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Paper price index in November 2026
The odds
287.6median
270310
Median 287.6Middle half 286.1 – 289.1
How the odds have moved
Median: 283.5 on Oct 20, 287.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 275 | 95% | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 50.9K | |
| Above 280 | 95% | 85¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 14.7K | |
| Above 285 | 95% | 47¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 25.2K | |
| Above 290 | 9% | 1¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 8.2K | |
| Above 295 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 9.1K | |
| Above 300 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 24.2K | |
| Above 305 | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 33.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Paper
Search ›- Bill Paxton warned son about Hollywood's 'death of a thousand paper cuts'Fox News Bill Paxton warned son about Hollywood's 'death of a thousand paper cuts' James Paxton tells Fox News Digital that despite his father’s Hollywood success, the late actor made sure he understood the industry's “pitfalls” and warned…
- Alan Cumming, Shirley Henderson to Star In Off-Broadway Musical ‘A History of Paper’ (Exclusive)The musical comes to New York after runs in Scotland, with Cumming saying he hopes to facilitate more of a pipeline. Alan Cumming and Shirley Henderson will star Off-Broadway this winter in the musical A History of Paper. The show, which…
- The Rugby Paper Roundup: Marcus Smith unleashed? England v Australia & the race to stop the SpringboksCan Marcus Smith inspire England against Australia – and should George Furbank replace Freddie Steward at full-back? This week on The Rugby Paper Roundup, we preview England's opening November Test and assess Steve Borthwick's biggest…
- Former elementary school teacher becomes newest paper billionaire in ChinaA former elementary school teacher has been propelled into the ranks of paper billionaires in China after the stock debut of his company selling tape and other adhesive products to tech giants, according to Forbes. Michael Mai, chairman…
- The Top Paper-Producing States In AmericaAmerican mills produced 66.3 million tons of paper and paperboard in 2025. Containerboard accounted for 36.1 million tons of that production, and tissue production reached 7.8 million tons. As demand for traditional printing and writing…
- Firefighters tackle blaze at paper offering warehouse - RTHKFirefighters tackle blaze at paper offering warehouse RTHK News Firefighters tackle blaze at paper offering warehouse
- Paper Mache by David ReadGrowing up in Florida, we studied the early Spanish explorers, including Hernando de Soto and Juan Ponce de León. Of all the stories we heard, the one that stuck with me was the legend of Ponce de León and the Fountain of Youth, a spring…
- Korea Flags Seven Paper Makers as Deeply Undervalued StocksMajor Paper Firms Trade at Average PBR of Just 0.21 Domestic Printing Paper Sales Fall Nearly 12% in Two Years Cost Pressure and Weak Margins Compounded by Price-Fixing Penalties Shift to High-Value Products and Wider Investor Outreach…
- Drs. Powlen and Bigelow Receive Outstanding Paper AwardDrs. Jada Powlen and Cale Bigelow received an Award at the annual Crop Science Society of America (CANVAS) meeting in Portland Oregon this week for “Outstanding Paper in Crop, Forage and Turfgrass Management Journal” for the manuscript…
- “Paper Tiger” Views Family as DeadweightThe midterms’ blue tsunami is all about Trump’s failures. What it’s like to be consumed by obsessive-compulsive disorder. Rumors of reading’s death have been greatly exaggerated. Tech gifts that won’t rot their brains. Take a break with…
- Sonoco’s GreenCan® GEN2: making noise in paper packagingAs paper-based packaging gains ground across new markets, Sonoco is taking its established GreenCan® concept a step further. With an innovative closure that delivers an audible “pop”, stronger reclosure and greater design possibilities…
- Sylvamo to sell European paper business to Midas AtlanticSylvamo agreed to sell its uncoated freesheet mills in Saillat, France, and Nymolla, Sweden, to private equity firm Midas Atlantic Partners No price was given, and the seller keeps a right to 20% of the business's future distributions…
Related markets
All working families ›Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
83%chance▲ 7
CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.2%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
456,512median
445,000465,000
Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.18%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.12% – 0.24%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
83,963median
79,00093,000
Median 83,963Middle half 83,354 – 84,653
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions