Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Dec 4 · $515 today · $6.9K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

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The odds

77Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 77K

How the odds have moved

Median: 71K on Oct 20, 77K now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above -25,000 95% ▲ 1 92¢ 98¢ $1.02 890
Above 0 95% ▲ 2 92¢ 97¢ $1.03 837
Above 10,000 83% ▼ 1 79¢ 87¢ $1.15 668
Above 20,000 81% 76¢ 86¢ $1.16 489
Above 30,000 77% ▲ 62 72¢ 82¢ $1.22 757
Above 40,000 72% ▼ 10 67¢ 76¢ $1.32 298
Above 50,000 67% ▼ 6 62¢ 71¢ $1.41 780
Above 60,000 64% ▼ 9 60¢ 67¢ $1.49 951
Above 70,000 56% ▼ 5 51¢ 61¢ $1.64 314
Above 80,000 48% ▲ 17 45¢ 50¢ $2.00 2.2K
Above 90,000 44% 40¢ 48¢ $2.08 746
Above 100,000 40% ▲ 19 36¢ 43¢ $2.33 751
Above 125,000 29% ▲ 8 26¢ 32¢ $3.13 2.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Jobs

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  • Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment fallsFox Business · 3 days agoFox Business Latest jobs report shows increase in jobs as unemployment falls 'The Big Money Show' panel breaks down the October jobs report showing 165,000 jobs were added as the unemployment rate falls to 4.1%. 'The Big Money Show' panel…
  • People are replacing multiple part-time jobs with full-time jobs: EJ AntoniFox Business · 3 days agoFormer Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender and Heritage Foundation chief economist EJ Antoni discuss the state of the U.S. economy under President Donald Trump and the latest trends shaping the American workforce on 'Kudlow.'…
  • October jobs report exceeds expectationsFox News · 3 days agoFox News October jobs report exceeds expectations FOX Business' Edward Lawrence reports on October jobs report and the market reaction to Democrats' midterm wins. Wall Street reacts as the October jobs report reveals 165,000 jobs were…
  • Employers add 165,000 jobs in October, beating forecastsCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Economy adds…
  • Experts react to the October jobs reportCNBC · 3 days agoCNBC Experts react to the October jobs report
  • U.S. economy adds 165,000 jobs in OctoberNBC News · 3 days agoNBC News
  • U.S. economy adds a robust 165,000 jobs in OctoberCNN · 3 days agoCNN U.S. economy adds a robust 165,000 jobs in October Heather Long, the chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, discusses the strong report.
  • Alabama Coach’s Job Could Be on the Line Against LSUNewsweek · 2 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 05:20 PM EST The Alabama Crimson Tide’s offense has gone from explosive to unreliable in a matter of weeks, and one man is taking most of the heat for it. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb has been under fire since Alabama…
  • Helicopter jobs at risk despite £1bn contractBBC News · 4 days agoUp to 75 jobs could be lost at a helicopter factory just months after a major new government contract was signed. Leonardo Helicopters announced a restructure of its final assembly line in Yeovil, Somerset, on Thursday, which it said could…
  • Trump offers UFC chief Dana White press secretary jobCNBC · 2 days agoPresident Donald Trump offered the job of press secretary to UFC president and CEO Dana White on Saturday. President Donald Trump offered the job of press secretary to UFC president and CEO Dana White on Saturday. In a post on Truth…
  • Dana White reacts to President Trump’s job offerYahoo Sports · 2 days agoDana White already runs the UFC, Zuffa Boxing, and Power Slap, but President Donald Trump apparently thinks he has room for one more job. On Saturday, Trump announced that he had offered White the position of White House press secretary…
  • US adds 165,000 jobs in October, far exceeding expectationssemafor.com · 3 days agoThe economy’s resilience adds to evidence that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates at its December meeting. The US added 165,000 jobs in October, blowing past economists’ expectations, and the unemployment rate ticked down to…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions