US electricity price in October (October 2026)

Kalshi Economy Closes tomorrow 8:29 AM ET · $66 today · $1.8K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

19.4median

18.620.2

Median 19.4Middle half 19.1 – 19.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 19.4 on Oct 23, 19.4 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 18.8¢	98%	▲ 1	95¢		$1.03
Above 19.0¢	86%	▼ 4	86¢	99¢	$1.01	59.00
Above 19.2¢	63%	▼ 10	58¢	97¢	$1.03	1.5K
Above 19.4¢	63%	▲ 48	31¢	74¢	$1.35	1.2K
Above 19.6¢	5%	▼ 1		6¢	$16.67	511
Above 19.8¢	5%	▲ 3		95¢	$1.05	301
Above 20.0¢	1%	▼ 1		2¢	$50.00	40.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All working families ›

Economy › The Fed

Fed Decision in December?

80%25 bps increase

25 bps increase80%▲ 3
No change19%▼ 4
25 bps decrease1%

2 more

50+ bps increase1%
50+ bps decrease<1%

Economy › The Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

83%chance▲ 7

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.2%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.2%Middle half 0.14% – 0.26%

Economy › Jobs

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

456,512median

445,000465,000

Median 456,512Middle half 454,940 – 458,238

Economy › Jobs

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

83,963median

79,00093,000

Median 83,963Middle half 83,354 – 84,653

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.18%median

-0.1%1.1%

Median 0.18%Middle half 0.12% – 0.24%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFRED

Trading closesNov 10, 2026 8:29 AM ET

Traded$1.8K (3,674 contracts)

Today$66

This week$1.4K

At stake$1.5K

Followed here sinceOct 21, 2026

The rules

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for October 2026 is above 18.8¢, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions