Iowa presidential election winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $1 traded · $1 at stake · prices read 9 h ago

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The odds

80%Republican party
  • Republican party80%▼ 2
  • Democratic party19%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

Republican party: 82% on Nov 5, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Republican party 80% ▼ 2 77¢ 83¢ $1.20 1.00
Democratic party 19% ▲ 2 16¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iowa

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  • Iowa voters saw through Trump’s steel promiseThe Washington Post · 2 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The government should…
  • Iowa U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Iowa U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
  • Iowa Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Iowa Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
  • Iowa’s election results beg the question: Is Iowa a purple state again?The Gazette · 39 h agoGood Sunday morning….I hope you are having a great weekend. We’ve got a lot of stories premised off of questions like what’s next and what does the future look like? These are always important questions. In Johnson County, the jail bond…
  • Iowa's next governor Rob Sand, facing GOP legislature, vows "I'm going to veto" culture war billsCBS News · 3 days agoUpdated on: November 6, 2026 / 10:21 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Democrat Rob Sand won Iowa's governor's race Tuesday, defeating Republican Zach Lahn. Before the race was decided, he described his approach to governing this way: "Right wing…
  • Iowa Gov.-elect Rob Sand comments on Vogue post about his modeling past: "Yes, I knew that"CBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 5:05 PM EST / CBS Minnesota Iowa Gov.-elect Rob Sand, who won Tuesday's election, walked runways for Prada and other fashion houses while he was in college, according to Vogue. Vogue asked on Instagram whether followers…
  • USPS employee in custody after allegedly shooting 2 coworkers in Iowa post officeCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. USPS employee in…
  • Iowa Democrats win governor, Senate and three House seatsThe N'West Iowa REVIEW · 36 h agoAnnastasia and Devan Fox exit the Crossroads Pavilion Event Center in Sheldon after casting their vote Tuesday afternoon. Abi Bautista gets her ballot from Mary Dunn so she could vote on Tuesday at the Crossroads Pavilion Event Center in…
  • Midterm election analysis: Is Iowa a purple state again?The Gazette · 40 h agoDemocratic Senate candidate Josh Turek waves during an election night event Nov. 3, 2026, in Des Moines. Turek won election to the U.S. Senate. DES MOINES — Is Iowa a purple state again? Chris Larimer, a political science professor at the…
  • Iowa candidate drops out and still winsYahoo News · 3 days agoDemocrat Eric Armstrong won his Iowa House race despite dropping out months earlier, a surprising result that adds to the political shifts reshaping Iowa. By Ned Parker, John Shiffman, Mike Spector, Peter Eisler and Linda So DALLAS, Nov 8…
  • Iowa projected to have nation’s largest congressional shift to the left, study findsKCCI · 24 h agoIowa’s new congressional delegation is projected to have the largest shift toward the left of any state, according to an analysis by the Institute for Legislative Analysis. The study estimates that the outgoing delegation aligned with the…
  • Iowa Lottery Pick 3 Midday, Pick 3 Evening results for Nov. 8, 2026Yahoo News · 32 h agoDon't miss out on the winnings. Here's a look at Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026, winning numbers for each game: Lotto America: 9:15 p.m. CT on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday. Lucky for Life: 9:38 p.m. CT daily. Pick 3 (Day): 12:20 p.m. CT daily…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions