Predictions › Elections odds Every President 2028 market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
7,691 open markets · $13.9M traded today Trending president 2028 markets
Jon Ossoff 19% ▲ 2 JD Vance 18% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% Marco Rubio 9% 54 more Gavin Newsom 8% Ron DeSantis 6% ▼ 1 Kamala Harris 3% ▼ 1 Pete Buttigieg 3% Josh Shapiro 3% Andy Beshear 2% Thomas Massie 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% ▲ 1 Donald Trump 1% Raphael Warnock 1% Wes Moore 1% James Talarico 1% Mark Kelly 1% Ro Khanna 1% Abdul El-Sayed 1% JB Pritzker 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Ted Cruz 1% Glenn Youngkin <1% Donald Trump Jr. <1% Rahm Emanuel <1% Gretchen Whitmer <1% Nikki Haley <1% Elon Musk <1% Michelle Obama <1% Jamie Dimon <1% Tom Cotton <1% Cory Booker <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Stephen Smith <1% Tim Walz <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% LeBron James <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Jalen Brunson <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Adam Schiff <1% Josh Stein <1% Alex Padilla <1% Candace Owens <1% Tim Scott <1% Mike Johnson <1% Doug Burgum <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Rick Scott <1% James Fishback <1% Marjorie Taylor Greene <1%
Jon Ossoff 27% ▲ 2 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% Gavin Newsom 9% ▲ 1 Pete Buttigieg 6% 52 more Kamala Harris 5% Josh Shapiro 5% Andy Beshear 4% Raphael Warnock 4% Ro Khanna 2% ▼ 2 Wes Moore 2% Mark Kelly 2% James Talarico 2% ▼ 1 J.B. Pritzker 2% Abdul El-Sayed 1% ▼ 1 Rahm Emanuel 1% Chelsea Clinton 1% ▲ 1 Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% Gretchen Whitmer 1% Cory Booker 1% Roy Cooper 1% Michelle Obama <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Chris Van Hollen <1% Jon Stewart <1% Hillary Clinton <1% Bernie Sanders <1% Chris Murphy <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Mark Cuban <1% Gina Raimondo <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Jared Polis <1% Barack Obama <1% Phil Murphy <1% Hunter Biden <1% Oprah Winfrey <1% Jasmine Crockett <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Josh Stein <1% Mitch Landrieu <1% Tim Walz <1% MrBeast <1% John Fetterman <1% Liz Cheney <1% LeBron James <1% George Clooney <1% Andrew Yang <1% Beto O’Rourke <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Graham Platner <1% Adam Schiff <1% Alex Padilla <1% Adam Hamilton <1% Scott Colom <1%
J.D. Vance 33% Marco Rubio 20% ▼ 1 Ron DeSantis 15% Tucker Carlson 4% 39 more John McEntee 4% Ted Cruz 3% Thomas Massie 3% Glenn Youngkin 2% Brian Kemp 2% Donald Trump Jr. 2% Nikki Haley 1% Byron Donalds 1% Donald Trump 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Josh Hawley 1% Rand Paul 1% Joe Kent 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene 1% Tom Cotton 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% Tim Scott <1% Rick Scott <1% Elon Musk <1% Katie Britt <1% Candace Owens <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Greg Abbott <1% Elise Stefanik <1% Kristi Noem <1% Mike Pence <1% Steve Bannon <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Eric Trump <1% Doug Burgum <1% Matt Gaetz <1% John Thune <1% Tom Brady <1% Erika Kirk <1% Mike Johnson <1%
39.5 48.5
Median 44.0 Middle half 43.8 – 44.3
Democrats 14-16% 84% ▲ 4 Democrats 12-14% 15% ▼ 5 Democrats 16%+ <1% Democrats 10-12% <1% 9 more Democrats 8-10% <1% Democrats 6-8% <1% Democrats 4-6% <1% Democrats 2-4% <1% Democrats 0-2% <1% Republicans 0-2% <1% Republicans 2-4% <1% Republicans 4-6% <1% Republicans 6%+ <1%
November 4, 11:59 PM >99% ▲ 22 November 5, 11:59 PM >99% ▲ 18 November 6, 11:59 PM >99% ▲ 16 November 15, 11:59 PM >99% ▲ 6 2 more November 30, 11:59 PM >99% ▲ 2 November 3, 11:59 PM <1% ▼ 40
Other 77% ▲ 9 JD Vance 13% ▼ 10 Marco Rubio 5% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 3% ▼ 2 2 more Gavin Newsom 2% ▲ 1 Kamala Harris 1%
Rahm Emanuel 30% Tulsi Gabbard 8% Andy Beshear 8% Gavin Newsom 8% 67 more J.B. Pritzker 7% ▲ 1 Tucker Carlson 6% ▼ 1 Raphael Warnock 6% Rand Paul 6% Steve Bannon 5% Mark Kelly 5% Pete Buttigieg 5% ▼ 1 Ted Cruz 5% Glenn Youngkin 4% Phil Murphy 4% Jon Stewart 4% Matt Gaetz 4% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 3% Wes Moore 3% Cory Booker 3% Gretchen Whitmer 3% Gina Raimondo 3% ▼ 1 Marjorie Taylor Greene 3% Beto O’Rourke 3% Brian Kemp 3% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 3% ▲ 1 John Fetterman 3% Elise Stefanik 3% J.D. Vance 3% Nikki Haley 3% Tom Brady 3% Donald Trump Jr. 3% George Clooney 3% ▼ 1 Greg Abbott 3% LeBron James 2% Kristi Noem 2% Ivanka Trump 2% Hunter Biden 2% Don Lemon 2% Donald Trump 2% Bernie Sanders 2% Katie Britt 2% ▼ 1 Kamala Harris 2% Liz Cheney 2% Byron Donalds 2% ▼ 1 Candace Owens 2% Hillary Clinton 2% Erika Kirk 2% Tim Walz 2% Josh Shapiro 2% Elon Musk 2% Jon Ossoff 2% Barack Obama 2% Ron DeSantis 2% ▼ 5 Stephen A. Smith 2% Chelsea Clinton 2% Mike Pence 2% Oprah Winfrey 2% Marco Rubio 2% ▼ 1 Vivek Ramaswamy 2% Jared Polis 2% Andrew Yang 2% ▼ 1 MrBeast 2% Josh Hawley 1% Roy Cooper 1%
Pete Buttigieg 94% ▲ 1 Andy Beshear 92% ▲ 1 J.B. Pritzker 89% Rahm Emanuel 88% ▼ 1 34 more Josh Shapiro 88% ▲ 2 Ro Khanna 84% ▼ 6 Gavin Newsom 83% ▼ 2 Cory Booker 79% ▼ 1 Mark Kelly 76% ▲ 1 Wes Moore 72% ▲ 2 Jon Ossoff 69% Kamala Harris 64% ▲ 2 Chris Van Hollen 63% ▼ 10 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 61% ▲ 7 Mitch Landrieu 60% Raphael Warnock 57% ▼ 4 Ruben Gallego 55% ▲ 12 Elissa Slotkin 47% ▼ 6 Gretchen Whitmer 40% ▲ 3 Jared Polis 32% ▼ 3 Chris Murphy 27% ▼ 2 Dean Phillips 24% ▼ 1 Phil Murphy 24% ▼ 4 Mikie Sherrill 22% Shawn Fain 22% ▲ 1 Roy Cooper 19% ▲ 2 Amy Klobuchar 15% Mark Cuban 12% ▼ 6 James Talarico 12% ▼ 1 Stephen A. Smith 11% ▼ 2 Hunter Biden 10% ▼ 6 John Fetterman 9% ▼ 3 Abigail Spanberger 9% ▼ 8 Jon Stewart 8% ▲ 1 Michelle Obama 7% Tim Walz 4% Hillary Clinton 4% Barack Obama 2%
Ron DeSantis 90% Ted Cruz 87% John McEntee 83% ▲ 6 J.D. Vance 73% 34 more Rand Paul 66% Marco Rubio 60% ▼ 2 Brian Kemp 60% ▲ 14 Thomas Massie 56% ▼ 3 Chris Christie 48% ▼ 3 Glenn Youngkin 44% ▲ 1 Tim Scott 36% ▲ 1 Sarah Huckabee Sanders 33% Nikki Haley 27% Gregory Bovino 27% Doug Burgum 26% ▲ 1 Tulsi Gabbard 24% ▲ 2 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 24% ▼ 1 Marjorie Taylor Greene 24% Donald J. Trump Jr. 22% Tucker Carlson 22% ▲ 1 Steve Bannon 22% Josh Hawley 21% ▲ 3 John Kennedy 20% ▼ 1 Pete Hegseth 18% ▲ 2 Spencer Pratt 18% ▼ 1 Elise Stefanik 16% Greg Abbott 14% Katie Britt 13% ▲ 3 Larry Hogan 13% Vivek Ramaswamy 13% ▲ 1 Byron Donalds 12% Donald J. Trump 11% ▼ 1 Jared Kushner 9% ▼ 6 Matt Gaetz 8% Erika Kirk 8% John Thune 8% Jeff Bezos 8% ▼ 2 Elon Musk 5%
Pete Buttigieg 95% ▼ 2 Andy Beshear 91% ▲ 1 Ron DeSantis 91% ▲ 1 Rahm Emanuel 86% ▲ 1 67 more Josh Shapiro 85% ▲ 6 Ted Cruz 85% J.B. Pritzker 84% Gavin Newsom 82% Wes Moore 75% ▲ 3 J.D. Vance 72% Mark Kelly 69% ▲ 1 Cory Booker 65% Brian Kemp 65% ▲ 6 Rand Paul 62% ▲ 3 Jon Ossoff 61% ▲ 2 Raphael Warnock 61% ▲ 1 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 59% ▼ 2 Kamala Harris 59% ▲ 1 Marco Rubio 57% ▲ 3 Glenn Youngkin 46% ▼ 6 Gretchen Whitmer 38% ▲ 6 Sarah Huckabee Sanders 38% ▲ 11 Andrew Yang 36% Josh Hawley 29% ▲ 1 Hunter Biden 27% ▼ 1 Jared Polis 27% ▼ 2 Phil Murphy 27% ▲ 3 Marjorie Taylor Greene 26% Steve Bannon 24% Nikki Haley 24% ▲ 6 Elise Stefanik 24% Tulsi Gabbard 20% ▼ 1 Katie Britt 20% ▼ 5 Greg Abbott 19% ▼ 1 Don Lemon 19% ▼ 4 Stephen A. Smith 18% ▼ 1 Tucker Carlson 18% ▼ 1 Liz Cheney 17% ▼ 1 Donald Trump Jr. 17% Candace Owens 17% Gina Raimondo 17% ▼ 7 Matt Gaetz 16% ▲ 2 Kristi Noem 16% ▼ 2 Roy Cooper 16% ▲ 2 Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 16% Mike Pence 16% ▼ 1 Mark Cuban 15% ▼ 3 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% ▼ 1 John Fetterman 13% ▼ 9 Byron Donalds 13% ▼ 1 George Clooney 13% Oprah Winfrey 13% Jon Stewart 12% ▼ 1 Beto O’Rourke 12% Donald Trump 12% John Thune 11% ▼ 1 Michelle Obama 11% ▼ 1 Bernie Sanders 10% Kim Kardashian 10% Vivek Ramaswamy 10% ▼ 1 Chelsea Clinton 9% Elon Musk 9% ▼ 1 Tom Brady 9% ▼ 1 LeBron James 8%
Democratic Sweep 64% Republican Sweep 13% ▲ 7 D-House, D-Senate, R-President 11% ▼ 4 R-House, D-Senate, R-President 6% 4 more D-House, R-Senate, D-President 4% R-House, D-Senate, D-President 3% D-House, R-Senate, R-President 1% R-House, R-Senate, D-President <1%
Democratic party 66% ▼ 1 Republican party 35%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% ▼ 3 Jon Ossoff 11% ▼ 3 Gretchen Whitmer 11% ▲ 2 James Talarico 7% 39 more Mark Kelly 6% ▲ 1 Wes Moore 6% Zohran Mamdani 6% Elissa Slotkin 5% ▲ 1 Pete Buttigieg 5% Raphael Warnock 4% Andy Beshear 3% Josh Shapiro 2% Roy Cooper 2% Ruben Gallego 2% Gavin Newsom 2% Kamala Harris 2% Ro Khanna 1% J.B. Pritzker 1% Tim Walz 1% Gina Raimondo 1% ▲ 1 Cory Booker 1% ▲ 1 Jon Stewart 1% Chris Murphy 1% Bernie Sanders <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Mark Cuban <1% Michelle Obama <1% Jared Polis <1% Barack Obama <1% Liz Cheney <1% LeBron James <1% Hunter Biden <1% Oprah Winfrey <1% Beto O’Rourke <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Rahm Emanuel <1% John Fetterman <1% Phil Murphy <1% George Clooney <1% Chelsea Clinton <1% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson <1% Hillary Clinton <1% Andrew Yang <1%
Republican party 61% ▲ 1 Democratic party 39% ▲ 2
-100% 100%
Median -6.13% Middle half -18.58% – -1.88%
Democratic 67% Republican 33%
Marco Rubio 19% Donald J. Trump Jr. 4% Katie Britt 4% Erika Kirk 4% 19 more Ron DeSantis 3% J.D. Vance 3% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 3% Byron Donalds 3% Glenn Youngkin 3% Tulsi Gabbard 2% Nikki Haley 2% Tim Scott 2% ▼ 1 Eric Schmitt 2% Elise Stefanik 1% Josh Hawley 1% Ted Cruz 1% Brian Kemp 1% Donald J. Trump 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1% Greg Abbott 1% Elon Musk 1% Matt Gaetz <1% John Thune <1%
Jon Ossoff 37% ▲ 3 Raphael Warnock 16% Kamala Harris 14% Gavin Newsom 5% 16 more Cory Booker 5% Wes Moore 4% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4% J.B. Pritzker 3% ▼ 1 Mark Kelly 3% Pete Buttigieg 2% Jon Stewart 1% Andy Beshear 1% Ro Khanna 1% Michelle Obama 1% Bernie Sanders 1% Roy Cooper <1% James Talarico <1% Rahm Emanuel <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Josh Shapiro <1%
Before Jan 1, 2027 3% Before Apr 1, 2027 28% ▼ 4 Before Jul 1, 2027 60% ▼ 4 Before Oct 1, 2027 72% ▼ 7 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions