Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
Republican party
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Congress is coming back to Washington. Here's what to expectNPR · 19 h agoLawmakers are returning to Washington this week to finish up work before Democrats take control of the House and Senate in January. Zayrha Rodriguez/NPR hide caption It is the final hoorah for the 119th Congress. Republicans have just…
Exclusive / AI safety groups outline their plans for a new Washingtonsemafor.com · 19 h agoAI safety advocates are counting the midterms as a major win while sketching out their plans for the fight ahead. AI safety advocates are counting the midterms as a major win while sketching out their plans for the fight ahead, according…
The hard part begins for a divided Washington: Letters to the Editor — Nov. 9, 2026New York Post · 38 h agoThe Issue: The 2026 election results and what’s now ahead for both Democrats and Republicans. Many of the Democrats elected in the midterms don’t have a solid proposal to solve the issues they campaigned on (“Stox in AI meltdown,” Nov. 6)…
Clinton and Gingrich found common ground. Washington must againWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
DeSantis blasts Washington Post over report he's preparing 2028 presidential bidFox News · 3 days agoFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Wednesday following the midterm elections that Democrats "did not earn a mandate to indulge all their left-wing fantasies." Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fired back Friday at a report that he is preparing another…
The Republicans take the court as the Washington GeneralsWashington Examiner · 4 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Blue Colorado and Washington state ban transgender athletes in girls’ sportsThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The success of the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions