Wisconsin presidential election winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $85 today · $86 traded · $86 at stake · prices read 7 h ago

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The odds

59%Democratic party
  • Democratic party59%▼ 8
  • Republican party41%▲ 9

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 67% on Nov 5, 59% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 2 PM ETDemocratic party: 67% → 59%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democratic party 59% ▼ 8 54¢ 64¢ $1.56 1.00
Republican party 41% ▲ 9 37¢ 46¢ $2.17 206

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Wisconsin

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  • Minnesota, Wisconsin see worst measles outbreak in decades, and more headlinesCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
  • Wisconsin Governor resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For…
  • Wisconsin midterm elections results 2026BBC News · 5 days agoBBC
  • Wisconsin Question 2 resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin question 2 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Wisconsin Question 2 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
  • Wisconsin Assembly passes constitutional amendment to limit diversity effortsCBS News · 5 days agoFebruary 15, 2024 / 12:05 PM CST / AP A constitutional amendment supported by Republicans that attempts to limit diversity, equity and inclusion efforts in Wisconsin won approval Thursday in the state Assembly. The measure is the latest…
  • Part of plane flown by ace pilot Richard Bong returns to Wisconsin museumCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Part of plane…
  • Democrat David Crowley wins Wisconsin governor's raceNBC News · 5 days agoNBC News
  • Wisconsin U.S. House results: 1st DistrictAP News · 6 days agoWisconsin U.S. House Election Live Results 2026 AP News Wisconsin U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election…
  • What are Wisconsin Democrats’ priorities come January?Twin Cities · 2 days agoBy Kimberly Wethal, Wisconsin State Journal With Democrats claiming both chambers of the Wisconsin Legislature and keeping the governor’s office for the first time in nearly 20 years, expect the priorities of state government to radically…
  • Wisconsin voters approve Republican-backed amendment on DEI and "government discrimination"CBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 2:12 PM CST / CBS Chicago Wisconsin voters approved a constitutional amendment Tuesday that prohibits governmental entities from discriminating against or granting preferential treatment based on race, sex, color…
  • Wisconsin Attorney General resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Wisconsin Attorney General results When the nation waits for results, who…
  • Wisconsin Question 3 resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin question 3 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Wisconsin Question 3 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions