2028 Alaska Republican caucus winner?
35%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance35%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
- Ron DeSantis8%▼ 1
2 more
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Thomas Massie4%
Install
2028 Nevada Republican caucus winner?
The odds
35%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance35%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
- Ron DeSantis8%▼ 1
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Thomas Massie4%
How the odds have moved
J.D. Vance: 35% on Nov 5, 35% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 35% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| Ron DeSantis | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| Tucker Carlson | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.20 | ||
| Thomas Massie | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada Republican, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio
Search ›- Trump Reflects on Republicans’ Midterm Losses, Reacts to J.D. Vance’s Own Analysis in ’60 Minutes’ InterviewThe president offers a few reasons why he believes the Democrats gave his party a crushing defeat last week. President Donald Trump reflected on the Republicans’ big losses last week with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat in his first…
- Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran actionSecretary of State Marco Rubio defended President Donald Trump's actions against Iran on Sunday, arguing he confronted a national security threat that previous presidents failed to address. Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran action Secretary…
- Marco Rubio says US has right to defend itselfSecretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to reporters while traveling to a G7 meeting in Paris. Marco Rubio says US has right to defend itself Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to reporters while traveling to a G7 meeting in Paris.
- Marco Rubio warns top staff against conflicts of interest as he tightens control of state department after midterms: reportWASHINGTON, Nov 7 (Reuters) – US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has moved to tighten control over the State Department, telling senior officials that staff must stay in their lanes and avoid actions that present conflicts of interest…
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis plans another run at White HouseBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Florida’s status as…
- As MAGA Falters, Ron DeSantis Steps Out of the ShadowsNov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM EST Florida’s outgoing governor Ron DeSantis has been fiercely criticizing Republicans since the GOP’s shellacking in the midterm elections, raising questions about whether the offensive is the opening gambit of…
- J.D. Vance 'Waving Goodbye to 2028' After Midterm Losses, Former Trump Official Says, as Marco Rubio Gains BuzzAfter the devastating midterm election results, a major political shift has disrupted the outlook for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination as the battered GOP shifts its focus from Vice President J.D. Vance to Secretary of State…
- Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Losses"Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028 if the GOP doesn't get its act together," tweets Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Losses "Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028…
- Commentary: So who’s the Nevada Republican leader now? Root?If there are Nevada Republicans who understand the need to reject Trump and Trumpism, now would be an opportune time for them to step up and say so. Better late than never.(Image from a flyer for the Clark County Republican Party Lincoln…
- Ron DeSantis says U.S. went too far in Iran conflictWith 1,090 votes now separating him from U.S. Rep. María Elvira Salazar, Democrat Eliott Rodriguez is suing Miami-Dade Supervisor of Elections Alina Garcia to keep her from making ballot and recount decisions in Florida’s 27th…
- Marco Rubio Attends G7 Foreign Ministers' Meeting. Here Are His Priorities.Secretary of State Marco Rubio departed last night for France and the G7 Foreign Ministers' Meeting. This will begin two days of talks in Paris to discuss a wide range of issues including artificial intelligence, the United Nations, the…
- Marco Rubio Warned Officials on Nvidia CEO’s Chinese Spy TiesAnd, it turns out, Secretary of State Marco Rubio sounded the alarm on this some time ago. Secretary of State Marco Rubio oversaw the drafting of the highly classified memo this past spring warning top Trump administration officials that…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions