2028 Alaska Republican caucus winner?
35%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance35%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
- Ron DeSantis8%▼ 1
2 more
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Thomas Massie4%
Install
2028 Oklahoma Republican primary winner?
The odds
35%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance35%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
- Ron DeSantis8%▼ 1
- Tucker Carlson5%
- Thomas Massie4%
How the odds have moved
J.D. Vance: 35% on Nov 5, 35% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 35% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| Ron DeSantis | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| Tucker Carlson | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.20 | ||
| Thomas Massie | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oklahoma Republican, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio
Search ›- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis plans another run at White HouseBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Florida’s status as…
- As MAGA Falters, Ron DeSantis Steps Out of the ShadowsNov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM EST Florida’s outgoing governor Ron DeSantis has been fiercely criticizing Republicans since the GOP’s shellacking in the midterm elections, raising questions about whether the offensive is the opening gambit of…
- Marco Rubio warns top staff against conflicts of interest as he tightens control of state department after midterms: reportWASHINGTON, Nov 7 (Reuters) – US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has moved to tighten control over the State Department, telling senior officials that staff must stay in their lanes and avoid actions that present conflicts of interest…
- J.D. Vance 'Waving Goodbye to 2028' After Midterm Losses, Former Trump Official Says, as Marco Rubio Gains BuzzAfter the devastating midterm election results, a major political shift has disrupted the outlook for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination as the battered GOP shifts its focus from Vice President J.D. Vance to Secretary of State…
- Marco Rubio insists he won’t quit Trump admin — but demurs on growing 2028 buzzSecretary of State Marco Rubio says he is staying put as speculation swirls about his 2028 ambitions, which he declined to address. The top US diplomat and national security adviser dismissed reports by multiple outlets Thursday indicating…
- President Donald Trump may be considering Gov. Ron DeSantis to replace Pete Hegseth, sources sayCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. President Donald Trump…
- We were not immune to this wave: Ron DeSantisFox News We were not immune to this wave: Ron DeSantis Gov. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla., discusses how the state weathered the Democratic wave in the midterm elections on 'The Ingraham Angle.' Bold conservative policies and crucial ballot…
- Rudy Giuliani Warns J.D. Vance Could Be a 'Dangerous Possibility' as President After Iran War CriticismRudy Giuliani shared his thoughts on J.D. Vance's potential 2028 presidential run. Nov. 6 2026, Published 7:37 p.m. ET Rudy Giuliani isn't so sure J.D. Vance is cut out to be the next president, RadarOnline.com can report. During a…
- Ron DeSantis Responds to 2028 Speculation(Luis Cornelio, Headline USA) Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Friday swiftly denied claims from anonymous sources that he is currently planning to seek the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. DeSantis, whose term as governor is set to…
- Gov Ron DeSantis: Texas results will hurt the GOP going forwardFox News Gov Ron DeSantis: Texas results will hurt the GOP going forward Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis discusses how his state avoided a Democratic electoral wave and lays out where the GOP should go after the midterms on ‘The Ingraham Angle.’
- Ron DeSantis Calls Out Republicans over ‘Crony Capitalism’Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) called out Republicans who push crony capitalist policies, explaining that it is part of the reason young people see socialism favorably. The post Ron DeSantis Calls Out Republicans over ‘Crony Capitalism’…
- Ron DeSantis Plans Another Run For President In 2028Ron DeSantis described the Tuesday midterms as an “extinction-level event for Republicans.” Evidently he believes that he is the famed Phoenix bird that will rise from the ashes, rebuilding the party. I will believe this when I see it. But…
Related markets
All primaries ›2028 Alabama Republican primary winner?
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2028 Arkansas Republican primary winner?
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2028 California Republican primary winner?
35%J.D. Vance
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2028 Colorado Republican primary winner?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions