Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims? (Before Aug 1, 2028)
12%chance
Install
Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination? (Before Aug 1, 2028)
The odds
34%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 35% on Oct 19, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34% | ▲ 1 | 30¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 213 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court, Title IX, SCOTUS
Search ›- Supreme Court Under Criminal Probe by Trump’s DOJNov 05, 2026 at 02:47 PM EST The Justice Department has opened a criminal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court draft opinion that ultimately overturned Roe v. Wade, reviving scrutiny of one of the most consequential…
- DOJ launches criminal probe into 2022 Supreme Court abortion ruling leakFox News DOJ launches criminal probe into 2022 Supreme Court abortion ruling leak Fox News contributor Jonathan Turley discusses the reported DOJ criminal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court's draft opinion overturning…
- Surprise twist ricochets through Supreme Court case on AR-15 banA blockbuster Supreme Court appeal challenging a ban on AR-15-style semi-automatic rifles may be thrown into disarray by a mysterious request to remove the lead plaintiff from the case, a puzzling twist that prompted the ban’s defenders to…
- DOJ launches criminal investigation into leak of Supreme Court's Roe v. Wade draft opinionFox News DOJ launches criminal investigation into leak of Supreme Court's Roe v. Wade draft opinion Attorney Alex Swoyer joins 'Fox & Friends First' to discuss the Justice Department's criminal investigation into the 2022 leak of the…
- Democrats could dust off plans for Supreme Court reforms after capturing House and SenateNovember 6, 2026 / 6:00 AM EST / CBS News Washington — After years of calling for reforms to the Supreme Court following blockbuster decisions on abortion, presidential power and voting rights, Democrats may be poised to push forward with…
- Supreme Court urged to protect homeowners’ property rights in data center power fightWashington Examiner A group of Maryland property owners are urging the Supreme Court to get involved in a property rights fight over the potential construction of power lines amid a data center boom in the region. Data center development…
- Republicans rammed through Supreme Court nominees. Now Democrats will have the votes to stop themThe Washington Post President Donald Trump has transformed the Supreme Court with a conservative supermajority, but he now faces a Democratic-led Senate ready to challenge his judicial picks WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump led a…
- DOJ opens investigation into leak of Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe v. WadeFox News DOJ opens investigation into leak of Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe v. Wade Fox News correspondent David Spunt has the latest on the DOJ launching a federal investigation into the 2022 leak of the Supreme Court's draft…
- Pirro leads criminal investigation into Supreme Court Dobbs leakWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
- Alito reiterates he's not retiring, is committed through end of current Supreme Court termFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis warns that an incoming Democratic Senate majority means no Supreme Court Justice or major cabinet officials will be confirmed. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito confirmed to Fox News that he has no plans to…
- Ruth Bader Ginsburg's Revenge: A Supreme Court Warning for RepublicansNov 05, 2026 at 10:48 AM EST In August 2013, Ruth Bader Ginsburg was 80 years old, Barack Obama was president and reporters were asking the justice directly why she wouldn’t retire. Her answer was characteristically assured: she would…
- GOP Senate ready for lame duck Supreme Court confirmation — if Alito or Thomas change mindWASHINGTON — Senate Republicans are open to holding a lame duck Supreme Court confirmation if Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas change their mind about not retiring after the midterm blue tsunami. “It can be done,” Senate Majority…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions