Predictions › Politics Supreme Court & courts odds Every Supreme Court & courts market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
831 open markets · $4.1M traded today Trending supreme court & courts markets
June 30, 2027 12% ▲ 1 December 31 12%
October 31 <1% ▼ 1 December 31 9% ▼ 5
December 31, 2026 2% December 31, 2027 26% ▼ 1
Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists 7% ▼ 1 Republican National Committee v. Eakin 6% ▼ 2 Duncan v. Bonta 6% Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche 4% 4 more Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory 4% ▼ 1 Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice 3% Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day 3% Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States 2%
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 75% ▲ 6 Not nine justices 16% ▼ 1 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 9% 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals 1% 1 more 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals 1%
Ilhan Omar 25% ▼ 1 John Brennan 12% ▲ 1 Miles Taylor 9% ▲ 1 Dan J. Sullivan 8% 39 more Peter Strzok 7% Fani Willis 7% Leon Black 7% James Clapper 6% ▼ 2 Letitia James 6% ▼ 1 Hunter Biden 6% Andrew Weissmann 6% ▼ 1 Reid Hoffman 6% Cassidy Hutchinson 6% ▲ 1 Keith Ellison 5% Anthony Fauci 5% Kimberly Guilfoyle 5% ▼ 2 Adam Schiff 5% Lisa Monaco 5% Joe Kent 4% Jack Smith 4% Chris Krebs 4% Gustavo Petro 4% Tim Walz 4% Elissa Slotkin 4% Christopher Wray 4% ▼ 1 Jacob Frey 4% Gavin Newsom 4% Jennifer Siebel Newsom 4% ▲ 1 Liz Cheney 3% ▼ 1 Mark Milley 3% Bill Clinton 3% Alvin Bragg 3% E. Jean Carroll 3% Chris Christie 2% Hillary Clinton 2% Lisa Cook 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Mark Kelly 2% Pam Bondi 2% Barack Obama 2% George Soros 2% Jerome Powell 1% Joe Biden 1%
Before Jan 1, 2027 6% ▲ 4 Before Jul 1, 2027 18% ▼ 2
John Roberts 26% ▲ 11 Samuel Alito 25% ▼ 28 Clarence Thomas 24% ▼ 14 Sonia Sotomayor 7% 5 more Elena Kagan 5% Amy Coney Barrett 5% Ketanji Brown Jackson 4% Brett Kavanaugh 3% Neil Gorsuch 2%
Ilhan Omar 10% ▼ 3 John Brennan 10% ▼ 1 Mahmoud Khalil 7% ▼ 1 James Clapper 5% ▼ 3 21 more Loretta Lynch 5% Letitia James 5% Benjamin Netanyahu 4% Susan Rice 4% Lisa Cook 4% Lee Jae Myung 4% José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero 3% Lee Jun-seok 3% ▼ 1 Anthony Fauci 3% ▲ 1 Brandon Johnson 3% Candace Owens 3% Hillary Clinton 3% Adam Schiff 3% ▼ 2 John Kerry 2% Gavin Newsom 2% Barack Obama 2% Bill Clinton 2% ▼ 1 Tom Homan 2% Kash Patel 2% Joe Biden 1% Pam Bondi 1%
Before Jan 21, 2029 34% ▼ 3 Before 2028 20% ▼ 2 Before June 2027 12% Before 2027 6% ▼ 1
Ted Cruz 6% ▼ 1 Andrew Oldham 5% Mike Lee 4% Michael Park 3% 37 more D. John Sauer 3% ▲ 1 Emil Bove 2% James Ho 2% Neomi Rao 1% Amul Thapar 1% Aileen Cannon 1% Kathryn Mizelle 1% Lawrence VanDyke 1% Patrick Bumatay 1% Allison Jones Rushing 1% Tom Cotton 1% Kenneth Lee 1% Barbara Lagoa 1% Ron DeSantis 1% Yaakov Roth 1% Anna St. John 1% Steven Menashi 1% Matthew Schwartz 1% Eric Tung 1% Kevin Newsom <1% David Stras <1% Gregory G. Katsas <1% Matthew Kacsmaryk <1% Trevor McFadden <1% Clint Bolick <1% Kevin Brobson <1% Britt Grant <1% Allison Eid <1% Evan Young <1% Joan Larsen <1% Kate Comerford Todd <1% Patrick Wyrick <1% Kristen Waggoner <1% Morse Tan <1% Mark Martin <1% Stephanos Bibas <1% Stuart Kyle Duncan <1%
Before Dec 1, 2026 16% ▼ 8 Before Jan 1, 2027 28% ▼ 3 Before Apr 1, 2027 31% ▼ 7
Before Jan 1, 2027 5% ▲ 1 Before Apr 1, 2027 12% ▼ 1 Before Jul 1, 2027 17% Before Oct 1, 2027 26% ▼ 9 1 more
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions