Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
97%
94¢
99¢
$1.01
Republican party
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts Senate, Essex District, Senate
Kassner poised to win third term in 2nd Essex District raceThe Local News · 6 days agoRep. Kristin Kassner is poised to win a third term in the State House, fending off a challenge from Ipswich Republican Dan Kelly to represent the 2nd Essex District, according to unofficial election results. Kassner, a Democrat, is leading…
Letter: Kristin Kassner asks Second Essex District voters for another termThe Local News · 7 days agoOn a brisk morning in mid-September 2022, after formally resigning from a job I loved, I was in a canoe on the Ipswich River with the Ipswich River Watershed Association, in the middle of one of the worst droughts in a decade. I was…
Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm lossesFox News · 2 days agoRon Johnson, R-Wisc., joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss President Donald Trump's comments to Senate Republicans and a new bid for Senate minority leader. Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm losses Ron Johnson, R-Wisc…
Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through'Fox News · 2 days agoPresident Donald Trump slams the Senate, saying nothing is getting through and that it is one of the 'biggest' problems. Trump says voters saw these Senate flaws. Trump blasts the Senate: 'Nothing is getting through' President Donald Trump…
Nebraska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Nebraska U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
Trump declares Alaska Senate race ‘OVER’ and claims Republican wonNew York Post · 2 days agoPresident Trump declared the Senate race in Alaska “over” and his favored candidate Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) the winner — even though the outcome of his race against former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) was far from certain. Trump has…
GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate raceFox Business · 3 days agoFox Business GOP alleges spoiler scheme in Alaska Senate race 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie Hurt joins 'Kudlow' to discuss the 'Decoy Dan' controversy in Alaska and the GOP's next steps. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-host Charlie…
Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership voteFox News · 2 days agoSen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., calls for Senate Republicans to delay Tuesday’s leadership elections following the party’s midterm losses on 'Saturday in America.' Sen Ron Johnson pushes to delay Senate GOP leadership vote Sen. Ron Johnson…
Minnesota U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Minnesota U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
Montana U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Montana U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions