South Dakota House District 26A winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $10 traded · $2 at stake · prices read 48 min ago

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The odds

80%Republican party
  • Republican party80%
  • Democratic party19%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Republican party: 99% on Nov 1, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 1, 10 PM ETRepublican party: 99% → 80%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Republican party 80% 75¢ 84¢ $1.19 12.00
Democratic party 19% ▲ 1 14¢ 24¢ $4.17

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Dakota House District, House District

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