Tech layoff rate in October (Oct 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Dec 1 · $263 traded · $263 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

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The odds

1.23%median
0.6%2.6%
Median 1.23%Middle half 0.99% – 1.56%

How the odds have moved

Median: 1.14% on Nov 4, 1.23% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 0.8% 89% 84¢ 93¢ $1.08
Above 1.0% 74% 70¢ 78¢ $1.28 261
Above 1.2% 53% 48¢ 57¢ $1.75 130
Above 1.4% 35% 30¢ 39¢ $2.56
Above 1.6% 23% 18¢ 27¢ $3.70 10.00
Above 1.8% 14% 10¢ 19¢ $5.26
Above 2.0% 9% 4¢ 13¢ $7.69
Above 2.2% 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Above 2.4% 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Tech

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  • How to Watch Illinois Basketball vs Texas TechIllinois Fighting Illini On SI · 25 h agoA week into its season, Illinois basketball (2-0) hasn’t even broken a sweat. In their first two regular-season games, the Illini rattled off a pair of blowout wins over Fairleigh Dickinson and Penn. Illinois is averaging 116 points. Its…
  • No Excuses: Stanford Needs a Win at Virginia TechYahoo Sports · 38 h agoThe entire Stanford football season has been building to this. Next Saturday, the Cardinal will be back on the road, taking on the Virginia Tech Hokies, in a game that may very well end up determining if they are bowl eligible when the…
  • Texas Tech's Biggest Winners and Losers vs. Bethune-CookmanYahoo Sports · 42 h agoThe Red Raiders got the win over Bethune-Cookman Thursday night, but it wasn't the most assuring performance from the Red Raiders, as they seemed to struggle at points throughout the game. Nonetheless, the Red Raiders advanced to 2-0…
  • AI & Tech Brief: A new era of tech oversightThe Washington Post · 3 days agoThe Washington Post - Democratic lawmakers are already laying the groundwork for congressional investigations into Big Tech companies. A Democratic-led Congress likely means a new era of tech oversight that will be like nothing we’ve seen…
  • Forget tech and hide out in these stocks instead, Goldman Sachs saysCNBC · 3 days agoThe giant Wall Street investment bank says there are plenty of quality buying opportunities even as market uncertainty remains.
  • No. 24 West Virginia Crushes Georgia Tech in First Road TestYahoo Sports · 36 h agoThe No. 24 West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0) remained undefeated on the season after taking down the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (2-1) Sunday afternoon 81-63 at McCamish Pavilion. Harris opened the game with a pair of threes to ignite a…
  • Illinois basketball vs. Texas Tech: How to watch, odds, injuries, announcers & moreYahoo Sports · 33 h agoIllinois basketball is back in action on Tuesday night in a great ranked matchup. The Illini are coming off back-to-back games of scoring over 100 points. It has been an impressive offensive display, but we are now taking on a big boy of…
  • Meet the forgotten female pioneers of the tech worldNew York Post · 2 days agoAbout eight years ago, Eileen Buckholtz took her grandchildren to the Computer History Museum in Mountain View, Calif., and was aghast at what she saw. “It was all men,” Buckholtz, now 77, told The Post — still smarting from the memory…
  • BBC Audio | Newshour | Tech shares tumble worldwideBBC News · 3 days agoAI stocks climb after trillions wiped from market values Technology shares across the world have plummeted over concerns of a slowdown in AI development in the US. Newshour debates the rights and wrongs of data centres. Also in the…
  • China’s Military Tech Emerges on Both Sides of Saudi-Houthi WarNewsweek · 35 h agoNov 08, 2026 at 05:00 AM EST Deputy Editor, National Security and Foreign Policy Weapons and components linked to China have been identified by observers in the hands of both sides of one of the most explosive episodes of the Middle East…
  • These funds tout hefty income tied to the tech trade – if you’re willing to deal with the complexityCNBC · 38 h agoA new type of exchange-traded fund offers attractive coupons tied to the performance of the tech trade, but the recent rout in artificial intelligence names underscores investors' need to perform ...
  • Tennessee baseball vs Georgia Tech scrimmage live updates, how to watchYahoo Sports · 47 h agoCHATTANOOGA − Tennessee baseball plays its final fall exhibition against Georgia Tech on Nov. 8 at Erlanger Park. First pitch between the Vols and Yellow Jackets is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET. The scrimmage will not be televised or streamed…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions