USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $5 today · $8.2K traded · $2.4K at stake · prices read 49 min ago

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The odds

63.8%median
54%72%
Median 63.8%Middle half 61.18% – 65.48%

How the odds have moved

Median: 60.05% on Oct 20, 63.8% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 56.0% 95% 91¢ 99¢ $1.01 149
Above 58.0% 92% 89¢ 95¢ $1.05 3.4K
Above 60.0% 85% 81¢ 89¢ $1.12 2.3K
Above 62.0% 68% ▲ 1 64¢ 72¢ $1.39 1.2K
Above 64.0% 48% 44¢ 52¢ $1.92 4.5K
Above 66.0% 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76 273
Above 68.0% 10% 6¢ 14¢ $7.14 20.00
Above 70.0% 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 743

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: USDT, T-bills

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  • Government borrows GH¢4.11 billion through T-BillsGhanaWeb · 18 h agoThe government raised GH¢2.93 billion through Treasury bills due in just 91 days, accounting for 71% of the GH¢4.11 billion it borrowed at its latest auction. - You are only allowed to submit content which you have created yourself. - No…
  • Philippines awards $808 million worth of T-bill, cash management billsMarketScreener · 20 h agoFollowing are results of the Philippine Bureau of the Treasury's auction of cash management and Treasury bills on Monday: The bureau awarded 51.12 billion pesos , below the 55 billion... -November 09, 2026 at 01:14 am EST - MarketScreener…
  • T-Bill auction records 41.5% oversubscription, yields ease furtherCitiNewsroom.com · 21 h agoInvestor demand for Treasury bills on the primary market strengthened significantly at the latest auction, with total bids nearly doubling to GH¢5.01 billion from GH¢2.55 billion recorded at the previous auction. Data from the Bank of…
  • Multiliquid Treasury Launches 24/7 T-Bill Yield and Instant Settlement for Corporate CashMacau Business · 4 days agoLOS ANGELES, Nov. 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Multiliquid, the instant settlement layer for tokenized assets, today launched Multiliquid Treasury: an institutional cash management solution enabling corporate treasuries, fintechs, and asset…
  • Kenya T-Bill Demand Surges 241.79% as Rates Hold SteadyTools · 4 days agoKenya’s Treasury bill market recorded a sharp increase in investor demand during the auction held on Thursday, November 5, 2026, with total bids reaching KSh 67.70 billion against an offer of KSh 28 billion, representing a subscription…
  • Albania to offer 99 mln euro of T-bills on Nov 10SeeNews · 4 days agoThe finance ministry of Albania will offer a total of 9 billion leks ($110.8 million/99 million euro) of Treasury bills in two auction on November 10, the central bank said. Bulgaria's govt proposes 3.5% deficit in 2027 state budget…
  • Nigeria allots 3.7% of T-bill subscriptions as stop rates fallintellinews.com · 5 days agoDATAWATCH: Russia's services PMI falls to 50.0 in October Missile War Monitor: More than 200 drones attack Russia's Ryazan region as Komyshuvakha toll rises to 40 Ukraine's PrivatBank wins final UK ruling on $3bn but still has to collect…
  • Croatia seeks 1 bln euro through 1-year T-bill saleSeeNews · 4 days agoCroatia aims to raise 1.0 billion euro ($1.1 billion) through a new one-year Treasury bill issue, available to both retail and institutional investors, the finance ministry said on Thursday. Serbia's budget deficit more than triples in…
  • Romania sells 181 mln euro in 1-yr T-bill auction, slightly below targetSeeNews · 4 days agoRomania's finance ministry sold 966.6 million lei ($203.3 million/181 million euro) worth of new discount Treasury bills maturing on October 28, 2027, slightly below the 1 billion lei target, central bank data showed on Thursday. Serbia's…
  • CBN mops up N3.46 trillion across OMO, NTB auctions, holds T-bill stop rates steadyNairametrics · 5 days agoThe Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) allotted approximately N3.46 trillion across its Open Market Operations (OMO) auction on November 3 and Nigerian Treasury Bills (NTB) auction on November 4, 2026, while keeping Treasury Bills stop rates…
  • Bitquery Ties $4M USDT Theft to 365 TRON Addresses@thecryptupdates · 45 h agoBlockchain data firm Bitquery has traced at least $4 million in USDT thefts across 365 TRON addresses. The firm’s Nov. 5 report covers Oct. 5 through Nov. 4 and puts a loss figure on a set of wallet compromises that have been discussed…
  • One-Year Canada T-Bill Auction Draws Strong Demand, Shorter Terms LessMarketScreener · 5 days agoPublished on 11/03/2026 at 12:33 pm EST Canadian Dollar Set for A Pause After October's Strong Rally, Modest Gains in 2027, MUFG Says November 02, 2026 at 11:59 am EST Bank of Canada Unlikely to Begin Sustained Rate Hike Cycle Amid…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions