Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?

Kalshi Economy › Jobs Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $4.2K today · $9.2K traded · $4.9K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

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The odds

91%chance▲ 8

How the odds have moved

Yes: 79% on Oct 20, 91% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 9, 8 PM ET83% → 91%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 91% ▲ 8 89¢ 92¢ $1.09 10.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls

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  • Unemployment Rate Soars Past 10 PercentCBS News · 14 days agoNovember 6, 2009 / 8:40 AM EST / CBS/AP The U.S. unemployment rate has hit double digits for the first time since 1983 - and is likely to go higher. The 10.2 percent jobless rate for October shows how weak the economy remains even though…
  • Luzerne County LERTA ordinance would allow council to revoke tax breaks for missing job reportsTimes Leader · 14 days agoA proposed real estate tax-break ordinance up for Luzerne County Council adoption Tuesday has more teeth. The ordinance sets reporting requirements and procedures for future tax-break requests. Originally, the document said a property…
  • What the September Jobs Report Really Changes for Global MarketsAOL.com · 15 days agoOn the surface, this can be considered a clear signal of strong labor market conditions. However, for financial markets, the numbers behind the payroll figure can matter even more. Wages, labor market participation rate, and revisions can…
  • New York audits reveal billions in unverified Medicaid payments, improper unemployment paymentsFox Business · 13 days agoFOX Business correspondent Connor Hansen reports on a new analysis exposing gaps in New York’s oversight that left billions in taxpayer funds vulnerable to fraud, waste and abuse. A new report examining New York state audits found billions…
  • Unemployment could rise to 5% in a year due to AI, says Jason GreerCNBC · 14 days agoJason Greer, Greer Consulting president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the impact of AI on the workforce, what unemployment could look like in 12 months, and more. Unemployment could rise to 5% in a year due to AI, says Jason Greer
  • Unemployment Benefits Would Get Boost Under New Bill Linked to AI FearsNewsweek · 14 days agoOct 26, 2026 at 01:07 PM EDT The Stability and Opportunity for Workers Act, unveiled by Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Ron Wyden of Oregon, aims to broaden system coverage, extend assistance during periods of economic downturn…
  • Was It a Good Jobs Report or a Bad One?Dollars & Sense · 16 days agoA one-time tax on the super wealthy is an important step toward greater equality. How can we fund universal childcare, Medicare for All, and a green economy while reducing inequality? A new plan shows how taxing wealth and corporate…
  • What payroll can tell you about your businessKRDO · 13 days agoBy Laci Buzzelli for ADP A small business owner has a decision to make. Overtime has climbed for the third month in a row, and the team is stretched. Adding another employee could ease the workload, but it also means adding to payroll at a…
  • Generative AI in Payroll: How AI Transformation Is Modernizing Payroll OperationsNERDBOT · 15 days agoThe objective is to improve payroll performance while maintaining the controls required for sensitive employee and financial information. Generative AI in Payroll can improve access to relevant information and reduce time spent handling…
  • Spain's unemployment rate risesYahoo Finance · 14 days agoSpain's unemployment rate rose to a double-digit level in the third quarter, the National Statistics Institute (INE) reported on Tuesday. The jobless rate came in at 10.18% in the third quarter, which was up from 9.87% in the preceding…
  • Labor Department replaces 50-year-old unemployment insurance system@WBNG12News · 13 days agoNEW YORK (WBNG) -- On Monday, Nov. 2, at 5 p.m., the New York State Department of Labor (NYSDOL) will begin upgrading its unemployment insurance system. The new Unemployment Services platform will replace the 50-year-old system and is…
  • How to Plan an HRMS and Payroll Rollout for a 50-Person Company in IndiaDEV Community · 13 days agoMoving HR and payroll out of spreadsheets is one of the highest-return software projects a growing company can take on. It is also one of the easiest to get wrong, because payroll mistakes hit people's bank accounts. Here is a practical…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions