US strike on Colombia by...?

Polymarket World › The Americas Closes Dec 31 · $1.5K today · $2.3M traded · $86.3K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

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The odds

17%December 31
  • December 3117%▲ 2

How the odds have moved

December 31: 22% on Oct 20, 17% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
January 31 <1% 0¢ $668K
March 31 <1% 0¢ $409K
December 31 17% ▲ 2 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 $1.3M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Colombia

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  • Colombia Travel and Tourism agencies highlight that conservation is the most profitable asset for tourism in ColombiaTravelMole · 17 h agoWith a global market projected to reach USD 682.37 billion by 2033, Colombia is positioning itself as a world-class competitor thanks to its biodiversity and the strengthening of its protected areas. Analysis of global trends shows that…
  • Colombia Highway Toll Station Hit by AttackThe Rio Times · 21 h agoAn attack with explosives, reported to involve drones, struck the Villa Rica toll station on Colombia’s main highway on Sunday evening, 8 November 2026. President Abelardo De La Espriella answered by sending soldiers and police into the…
  • ¿Ejercicios militares de EE.UU. en Colombia?Fox News · 4 days agoFox News ¿Ejercicios militares de EE.UU. en Colombia? Unos 350 efectivos de las Fuerzas Armadas de EE.UU. llegan a la base de Tolemaida para ejercicios antinarcóticos de gran escala.
  • Colombia’s Southern Bolívar Violence ExplainedThe Rio Times · 41 h agoSouthern Bolívar violence is now at the centre of Colombia’s security debate after drones hit an army base on Saturday 7 November 2026. The region, in the north of the country, is a gold-mining area where three armed groups compete for…
  • UAE Backed Colombian Mercenaries Fighting in Sudan, UN Findsmint · 22 h ago(Bloomberg) -- The United Arab Emirates helped fund and train Colombian mercenaries who fought with a Sudanese paramilitary force accused of war crimes and genocide, a recent United Nations report found. A confidential investigation by the…
  • Colombian Firms Back Brazil Before Lula WinThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombian companies are deepening their bets on Brazil in oil and power lines, but the biggest deals were signed months before Lula won a fourth term. Colombian companies have spent 2026 expanding in Brazil, and Ecopetrol completed a major…
  • Drones Hit Colombian Army Base, 3 DeadThe Rio Times · 2 days agoExplosive-laden drones hit an army base in northern Colombia on Saturday, and the Army reports three soldiers dead while the culprits remain unknown. Drones carrying explosives struck an army base in northern Colombia around midday on…
  • Colombia Drone Attack: 4 Soldiers Dead, 44 Wounded in BolívarteleSURenglish · 38 h agoA Colombia drone attack on a military canton in Santa Rosa, Bolívar, killed four soldiers and wounded 44 others, prompting an immediate security response. November 8, 2026 Hour: 9:38 am A Colombia drone attack on a military base in Santa…
  • Colombia Leader Backs Aide After Home EntryThe Rio Times · 2 days agoColombia’s president has publicly defended a senior aide after three people with criminal records were found inside the aide’s home, though the facts of the case remain unclear. Three people with judicial records were found inside the home…
  • Colombia Launches National Roadmap for Net Zero Carbon BuildingsWorld Resources Institute · 29 h agoBuildings account for a fraction of national emissions in Colombia, and now the country has taken a major step towards further decarbonizing this sector. The roadmap includes recommendations for ensuring that improving existing homes and…
  • Gunmen Kill Three Women in Colombian HomeThe Rio Times · 2 days agoThree women were found dead inside a home in Toro, a town in the Valle del Cauca department of southwest Colombia, on Friday 6 November. Armed men attacked them, local authorities say. Indepaz, a Colombian research group that tracks…
  • Vietnamese cuisine brings a taste of home to Colombiavietnamnews.vn · 35 h agoMEDELLIN — Though he speaks only limited Vietnamese and has visited the country just once, Vietnamese-American Hiếu Lê has opened a Vietnamese restaurant and makes fish sauce from sardines in Colombia. At a nearby table, Daniela, a…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions