The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
February 28
<1%
0¢
$15.1K
March 31
<1%
0¢
$27K
June 30, 2027
12%
▲ 1
19¢
20¢
$5.00
$238K
July 15
<1%
0¢
$1.6M
September 30
<1%
0¢
$1.5M
December 31
12%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
$1.6M
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Could Samuel Alito Miscalculation Trigger SCOTUS Fight in Lame-Duck Senate?Newsweek · 5 days agoNov 04, 2026 at 06:16 PM EST Nov 04, 2026 at 10:28 PM EST The Democratic midterm rout in the Senate has put Samuel Alito, the second-oldest Supreme Court justice, in a quandary. Retire now and give President Donald Trump a chance to…
Democratic wave prompts GOP anxiety over Samuel Alito and future of Supreme CourtCNN · 5 days agoThe Democratic rout in Tuesday’s midterm elections sparked an immediate sense of unease on the right about the future of the Supreme Court and a new round of Republican anxiety over decisions by Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas to…
So will Justice Samuel Alito retire now?BostonGlobe.com · 4 days agoThe Boston Globe So will Justice Samuel Alito retire now? Meet Chris Donisi, the new “Voice of Logan." Senator Ed Markey vows to take the fight to Trump in victory speech The MBTA has a pigeon problem. It's not poo-pooing a new solution…
So will Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas retire now?BostonGlobe.com · 4 days agoWhat did Tuesday’s midterm election results have to do with the Supreme Court? In a word: everything. For starters, the rampant mid-decade gerrymandering that Republicans orchestrated in an effort to hold onto control by diluting the…
Samuel Alito Isn’t Retiring, And Republicans Are SweatingNewsOne · 4 days agoWith Democrats taking control of the Senate, conservatives are scrambling to keep Trump’s Supreme Court options alive. Alito isn’t rushing to help. Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito apparently isn’t interested in doing Donald Trump any…
Justice Samuel Alito Confirms No Retirement Plans This Termredstate.com · 4 days agoJustice Samuel Alito, a stalwart of the Supreme Court, is also the second-oldest member of the Supreme Court, at 76, behind only Justice Clarence Thomas, who is 78. Considering the likely makeup of the Senate in the 120th Congress, which…
Samuel Alito Made an Announcement About His Looming Retirement Planstownhall.com · 5 days agoSupreme Court Justice Samuel Alito confirmed to Fox News that he has no plans to retire and is committed through at least the current term, which is set to end in late June. Alito made the statement Thursday amid speculation about the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions