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NC-3 House Race 2026 (North Carolina)
The markets' leading names: Raymond Smith Jr., Greg Murphy.
Prediction markets
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- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲1
- Greg Murphy16%▲1
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
- Republican Greg Murphy leads to NC’s 3rd Congressional District
RALEIGH — Republican incumbent Greg Murphy leads North Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District against Democrat Raymond Smith. Murphy has served in Congress since 2019. After trailing early on, Murphy ended up on top with a razor-thin margin…
- Greg Murphy Leads Raymond Smith in NC 3rd District Race
Republican incumbent Greg Murphy clawed back ahead of Democratic challenger Raymond Smith in North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District on Tuesday night, after Smith had led earlier in the night. The race, covering a swath of southeastern…
- Murphy, defends NC03 against Smith by thin margin
Listen to this story (2 minutes) Incumbent US Rep. Greg Murphy, MD, R-NC03 defended his seat on Election Night by a thin margin against Democratic challenger Raymond Smith Jr., who served in the North Carolina House from 2019 to 2023, in a…
- North Carolina 2026 election results
North Carolina 11th District Follow live results in the North Carolina Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Follow live results in all 14 of North Carolina’s House races as votes are counted on election…
- How North Carolina Democrats flipped several House seats in historically GOP districts
Supporters watch Democratic senatorial candidate Roy Cooper speak during an election night event in Raleigh, N.C. on November 3, 2026. A.M STEWART/AFP via Getty Images hide caption Of those districts, four are flipping from Republican…
- Murphy wins but GOP loses House majority; Davis victorious
U.S. Rep. Greg Murphy walks with Greenville Fire-Rescue Chief Jeremy Anderson during a Sept. 24 tour and meeting with city and department personnel. U.S. Rep. Don Davis, D-1st District, speaks to a Nash County Young Democrats gathering in…
- Republicans in North Carolina Lose 4 More House Seats
Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194 “Several House Republicans from North Carolina are in danger of losing their seats and joining four GOP lawmakers who lost reelection in a once reliably red state that is now handing their party some…
- NC election board reports 36,000+ provisional ballots cast statewide in midterms
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA — More than 36,000 provisional ballots were cast in North Carolina during the Nov. 3 midterm elections, according to the State Board of Elections. Pitt County reported the most provisional ballots in Eastern…
- Election 2026: Race calls awaited on 5 for U.S. House, 1 in state Senate
Five seats to the U.S. House of Representatives, one in the state Senate and five in the state House of Representatives on Friday afternoon were yet to get a consensus call on a winner. All precincts were in hours after polls closed, with…
- Column: North Carolina spoke clearly in Blue Tsunami
We wrote repeatedly that the 2025 mid-term election was unusually quiet. We now know why. North Carolinians were seething mad at the way things were going and the avalanche of early vote demonstrated they couldn’t wait to voice their…
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