Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
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US Corporate Profits (Q1 2027)
The odds
1.18median
-2410
Median 1.18
How the odds have moved
Median: -13.0 on Oct 30, 1.18 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -22 | 72% | $1.40 | ||||
| Above -20 | 72% | $1.40 | 5.00 | |||
| Above -18 | 72% | $1.40 | 35.00 | |||
| Above -16 | 72% | $1.40 | 50.00 | |||
| Above -14 | 72% | $1.40 | 120 | |||
| Above -12 | 72% | $1.40 | 190 | |||
| Above -10 | 72% | $1.40 | 430 | |||
| Above -8 | 72% | $1.40 | 410 | |||
| Above -6 | 72% | $1.40 | 350 | |||
| Above -4 | 72% | $1.40 | 350 | |||
| Above -2 | 71% | $1.41 | 310 | |||
| Above 0 | 60% | $1.67 | 290 | |||
| Above 2 | 43% | $2.33 | 150 | |||
| Above 4 | 30% | $3.33 | 100 | |||
| Above 6 | 15% | $6.67 | 70.00 | |||
| Above 8 | 6% | $16.67 | 40.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Corporate Profits
Search ›- Budget 2026: Canada goes all-in on corporate profitsA lot of AI discourse masks the fact that it is the result of a series of policy choices. Despite the government evoking Margaret Thatcher’s infamous “there is no alternative,” we do have a choice. And we should be serious about what that…
- Jim Cramer warns investors may be reading too much into Wall Street's post-election rallyCNBC's Jim Cramer warned Wednesday that Wall Street may be getting ahead of itself following the midterm elections. "The midterm results controlled today's trading, but by Friday we will be talking the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls…
- Thursday briefing: ‘A dignified life for all must be the north star’: economist Isabella Weber answers your questionsIn today’s newsletter: From the cost of living to the AI bubble and the fight against fascism, Weber answers Guardian readers’ questions on how to build a fairer economy and world Good morning. As stateside celebrations die down, the…
- Stocks soar after Democrats take control of CongressNovember 4, 2026 / 10:05 AM EST / CBS News The U.S. stock market surged on Wednesday as investors digested the impact of the Democrats' sweeping victories in the midterm congressional elections. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average…
- PPI Vs. CPI: Are Record Profit Margins About To Get SqueezedThe PPI vs. CPI gap is the widest since 2022, and history says record profit margins are in the crosshairs. Read more here... - Producer prices rose 6.3% in the year to September 2026, the fastest pace since late 2022. Consumer prices rose…
- Letter: Democrats need to focus on the economy to stay in powerBangor Daily News Letters submitted by BDN readers are verified by BDN Opinion Page staff. Send your letters to [email protected] Certainly the incompetence of Donald Trump and his narcissism of insisting he was on the ballot was…
- Ohio’s First Buc-ee’s Did $1 Million in Sales on Opening Day. Here Is What a Gas Station That Size Pays the People Who Run ItA gas station chain posted its pay on signs inside the store, and the numbers sent the internet arguing. The real question is what it takes to earn them, and why a company would pay that much for a job… Buc-ee’s said its store in Huber…
- BlackRock’s Larry Fink Says America’s Workers Are Falling Behind Investors — and 25 Years of Data Explains WhyA shoe store kid turned the world's biggest money manager says a career used to be the bedrock of America. A quarter century of paychecks, stock returns, and who actually owns the market reveals what changed, and one claim of… Since late…
- So why do we keep changing the time? – Hasso HeringIt’s the first day back on Pacific Standard Time. The return of Standard Time reminds me: I used to write editorials arguing for an end to changing our time twice a year. I still think the time change is a dumb idea, so: Editorials against…
- Cowen Warns Bitcoin May Retest July Lows as 2026 Echoes 2018 PlaybookBitcoin could be on course to revisit the lows it touched in July, with one closely followed crypto analyst warning that the sell-off in US equities may still have room to run and that the macro backdrop increasingly mirrors the fourth…
- Why Doesn’t High Growth Feel Like Prosperity In India?India’s GDP grew at 7.8% during the April-June quarter, which is impressive. The International Monetary Fund, Reserve Bank of India and other agencies have revised growth estimates upwards for the whole year. Sustaining rapid growth amid…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions