NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
CO-04 General Election: Democratic Party? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
99%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 31% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on ForecastEx. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ET35% → 95%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99% | $1.01 | 2.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- General
Search ›- Nepali Congress to provide warm clothes and mental health counselling to flood-hit communitiesHome » Nature » Disaster » Nepali Congress to provide warm clothes and mental health counselling to flood-hit communities The Nepali Congress has decided to launch a campaign to distribute warm clothes and provide mental health counselling…
- Nepal Police Summon Shiwakoti to Cyber Bureau — Kathmandu PostIn Kathmandu, Nepal, the Nepal Police Cyber Bureau summoned Ajaya Babu Shiwakoti, co-general secretary of the Nepali Congress party, for questioning. As The Kathmandu Post reports, the politician was on a religious trip outside Kathmandu…
- Will Mass. cut the grass? Marijuana’s back on the ballot“We’ve seen polling and surveys, and the vast majority would simply seek cannabis in a black market environment,” said Jesse Mermell, co-general counsel for Stop the Repeal, the organization behind the vote-no campaign. In 2016…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions