NC-03 House winner?
86%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.86%▲ 2
- Greg Murphy14%▼ 1
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
The odds
250.5median
207252
Median 250.5Middle half 249.7 – 251.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 235.3 on Oct 20, 250.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 210 | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 1.2M | ||
| 210-213 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 679.6K | ||
| 214-217 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 699.3K | ||
| 218-221 | <1% | 0¢ | 729.4K | |||
| 222-225 | <1% | 0¢ | 645.9K | |||
| 226-229 | <1% | 0¢ | 616.1K | |||
| 230-233 | <1% | 0¢ | 638.5K | |||
| 234-237 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 673.9K | ||
| 238-241 | <1% | 0¢ | 701.0K | |||
| 242-245 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 1.1M | ||
| 246-249 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 1.1M | ||
| Above 249 | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.02 | 2.3M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Midterms
Search ›- Midterm Elections Live Updates: Democrats Clear 250 House Seats in Decisive Power ShiftThe party’s growing tally approached the result in 2008, when Barack Obama captured the White House. Democrats also held leads in the uncalled Senate races in Mississippi and Alaska. The Democratic House majority surged past 250 seats on…
- Democrats win majority of Senate and House after midterm electionsCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Democrats…
- Democrats take House and Senate in historic midterm winNBC News projects Democrats have won control of the House and Senate in the midterms. NBC News’ Ryan Nobles looks at some of the historic wins in states like Texas and Michigan along with Republican reaction. 6-year-old boy found after…
- Midterms spark calls for White House shakeupsSenior Republican lawmakers and strategists have reportedly pressed the Trump administration to fire the Pentagon chief and swiftly end the Iran war. Midterms spark calls for White House shakeups The White House faced calls for policy and…
- US midterm elections 2026 live: Democrats exceed 250 House seats as blue wave sweeping Congress growsDemocrats widen gap in House chamber by flipping more seats, including in Ohio, Arizona and North Carolina; Ted Cruz calls election a ‘Watergate-level repudiation’ Live results | Q&A: Ask your questions about Democrats’ win Welcome to our…
- Michigan Democrats flip three U.S. House seats in 2026 midterm, hold majority in the stateNovember 4, 2026 / 5:58 PM EST / CBS Detroit With Democrats holding the majority in the U.S. House and Senate after the 2026 midterm election, the same occurred in Michigan, where Democrats flipped three House seats, giving them the…
- Democrats make major gains in House, Senate in major midterm election sweepFox News Democrats make major gains in House, Senate in major midterm election sweep Fox News senior congressional correspondent Chad Pergram breaks down the latest midterm election results, indicating major Democratic Party gains in both…
- Democrats poised to control US House, Senate in 2026 midtermsCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Minnesota: Voters…
- Democrats win control of the House and Senate in a midterm “blue wave,” CBS News projectsDemocrats flipped Senate seats in North Carolina, Ohio, Kansas, Maine, South Carolina and Texas, per CBS News. Mississippi and Alaska were still too close to call, and Democrats had 252 House seats so far against the 218 needed. Democrats…
- A blue tsunami carries Democrats to House, Senate control in 2026 midterm electionsCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Blue wave flips…
- House intelligence and national security hawks suffer major losses in midterm electionsWashington Examiner The House Republican conference is set to see a major brain drain of intelligence and defense hawks following the staggering defeat in the 2026 midterm elections. The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence is…
- Young voters swung toward Democrats in House races, fueling midterms sweepBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The younger voters…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions