Global Sea Level (Dec 2027)
104.0median
82.3129.8
Median 104.0
Install
Global Sea Level (Dec 2030)
The odds
47%Above 77.5
72.5167.5
How the odds have moved
Above 77.5: 47% on Oct 20, 47% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 77.5 | 47% | $2.13 | ||||
| Above 82.5 | 47% | $2.13 | ||||
| Above 87.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 92.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 97.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 102.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 107.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 550 | |||
| Above 112.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 550 | |||
| Above 117.5 | 40% | $2.50 | 350 | |||
| Above 122.5 | 25% | $4.00 | 200 | |||
| Above 125 | 21% | $4.88 | 150 | |||
| Above 127.5 | 21% | $4.88 | 100 | |||
| Above 130 | 21% | $4.88 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 132.5 | 21% | $4.88 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 135 | <1% | |||||
| Above 137.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 142.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 147.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 152.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 157.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 162.5 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Global Sea Level
Search ›- Research reveals accelerating sea-level rise around Irelandedited by Sadie Harley, reviewed by Andrew Zinin The study uses measurements dating to 1925 and provides the most comprehensive picture yet of a century of relative sea-level change around Ireland. Current rates of sea-level rise around…
- Action needed as UNEP adaptation report exposes climate finance injusticeAmsterdam, Netherlands – Greenpeace has called on countries to step up adaptation finance at the UN climate talks COP31 as the United Nations Environment Programme exposed the widening gap in critical finance for developing countries…
- Los Angeles faces an unusual holiday threat over NOAA warningJoss Favela is put to the test, to see how well he can come up with a piropo given the most random words ever! From El Northgate to Futbol, que romanticucho y listo es el cantautor mas popular de Mexico?! Watch on the app Los Angeles faces…
- Landmark 100-year study shows Irish sea-levels rising at their fastest pace in a centuryWith waters rising fastest along the south and west, researchers warn Ireland's coastal defences need to be updated. Sea levels around Ireland are rising at their fastest rate in a century, according to new research led by Maynooth…
- Irish Sea-Level Rise Now at Highest Rate in 100 Years Study FindsHome | News | Research A new study led by the ICARUS Climate Research Centre at Maynooth University in Ireland has reconstructed a century of Irish sea-level change, revealing a stark acceleration in sea-level rise. The research titled “A…
- Earth’s rocks have a missing layer spanning up to a billion years. We finally know where it wentImagine opening a history book and finding several chapters torn out. This was what geologists looking into the rock records of Earth’s past discovered on several continents in the 1870s. They dubbed it the Great Unconformity. Where layers…
- Mystery of the missing layers of Earth’s history solvedBy Santosh Dhungana and Nicolas Flament Imagine opening a history book and finding several chapters torn out. This was what geologists looking into the rock records of Earth’s past discovered on several continents in the 1870s. They dubbed…
- Fivefold increase in rate of rising sea levels around Ireland since 2000 - studyThe rate at which sea levels are rising around Ireland has increased more than fivefold since the beginning of this century, according to a major new scientific study. Researchers who reconstructed a century of sea-level measurements…
- OHB Wins €554M ESA Contract to Build Sentinel-3 Next Generation Altimetry Satellites"This contract reflects the trust placed in OHB's expertise and underscores the strength of the European space industry," said Marco Fuchs, CEO of OHB SE. "The mission will provide critical data for climate research, environmental…
- Sentinel-6B enters operational service to help track rising seas, predict storms and boost seasonal forecastsHome » Sentinel-6B enters operational service to help track rising seas, predict storms and boost seasonal forecasts The new Copernicus high-precision altimetry satellite tracks rising seas, storms and El Niño, helping to protect coastal…
- Maynooth-Led Study Finds Ireland's Sea Levels Rising FasterA new study led by the ICARUS Climate Research Centre at Maynooth University in Ireland has reconstructed a century of Irish sea-level change, revealing a stark acceleration in sea-level rise. The research titled, "A Century of Sea-Level…
- Maynooth University-led research reveals accelerating sea-level rise around Irelandimage: Dr Patrick McLoughlin, lead author of the Maynooth University-led research that reveals accelerating sea-level rise around Ireland view more Credit: Daniel Bâlteanu of Maynooth University A new study led by the ICARUS Climate…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions