Arctic sea ice max in winter 2026–2027

Kalshi Weather › Climate Closes Apr 1, 2027 · $85 today · $85 traded · $85 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

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The odds

14.6high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 14.6.

  • Reaches 13.897%
  • Reaches 13.996%
  • Reaches 1494%
  • Reaches 14.191%
  • Reaches 14.288%
  • Reaches 14.383%
  • Reaches 14.475%
  • Reaches 14.646%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 13.8 million sq km 97% 95¢ 99¢ $1.01
Above 13.9 million sq km 96% 94¢ 97¢ $1.03
Above 14.0 million sq km 94% 93¢ 95¢ $1.05
Above 14.1 million sq km 91% 90¢ 92¢ $1.09 55.00
Above 14.2 million sq km 88% 86¢ 89¢ $1.12 40.00
Above 14.3 million sq km 83% 80¢ 86¢ $1.16
Above 14.4 million sq km 75% 70¢ 80¢ $1.25
Above 14.6 million sq km 46% 41¢ 51¢ $1.96
Above 14.8 million sq km 18% 13¢ 23¢ $4.35
Above 15.0 million sq km 4% 8¢ $12.50
Above 15.2 million sq km 3% 5¢ $20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Arctic

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions