The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 9
88%
$1.14
7.8K
Above 10
22%
$4.55
19.6K
Above 12
13%
$7.69
4.0K
Above 14
<1%
Above 16
<1%
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Atlantic Tropical Storms
San Antonio news: Bomb scare, Tropical storm, Dallas Cowboys CheerleadersYahoo News · 13 days agoA bomb scare rattles a local school, Tropical Storm Vance could bring flooding to parts of Texas, and the Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders sue My Chemical Romance — in a minute. Oct 28 (Reuters) - On more than 100,000 acres of Nevada desert…
Tropical Storm Olana: Why Hawaii Should Stay Prepared, Even Without a Direct HitKITV Island News · 14 days agoResearchers say even storms that don't directly hit us, can still have an impact. HONOLULU (Island News) -- Tropical Storm Olana is one to watch, but researchers say it’s a reminder that even storms that don’t directly hit us can still…
Tropical storm Champi bringing heavy rain to western JapanNHK WORLD · 16 days agoTropical storm Champi is moving northeast over the East China Sea. Atmospheric conditions are very unstable in western and eastern Japan, as warm and damp air around the storm flows into a front stretching near the main island of Honshu…
Tropical Storm Champi nears China after battering Taiwan, JapanGulf Times · 15 days agoA powerful storm swept towards China yesterday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of ... Choose a section, type your search topic…
Tropical Storm In-Fa 'looking like a northern CNMI storm,' could become CAT 4 typhoonguampdn.com · 16 days agoCurrently, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts In-Fa to possibly reach the northern Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands by morning Oct. 30, 2026 as a Category 3 typhoon. In-Fa is located 280 miles northwest of Kwajalein…
Atlantic Is Quiet After Hurricane IsaiasThe Rio Times · 12 days agoUNITED STATES · WEATHER Hurricane Isaias is not threatening the United States tonight, because the storm behind the alarming headlines is already over. On Wednesday 28 October 2026 the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the US government’s…
Tropical Storm Champi nears mainland China after battering Taiwan, JapanMacau Business · 16 days agoA powerful storm swept towards mainland China on Saturday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of flights. Typhoon Champi was…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions