The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 10
14%
▼ 6
13¢
14¢
$7.14
31.1K
Above 12
2%
3¢
$33.33
9.3K
Above 14
2%
▲ 1
1¢
2¢
$50.00
12.1K
Above 16
1%
▼ 1
1¢
$100.00
14.0K
Above 18
1%
1¢
$100.00
11.1K
Above 20
1%
1¢
$100.00
733
Above 25
1%
1¢
$100.00
216
Above 30
1%
1¢
$100.00
1.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Tropical Storm Pena forms well southeast of Hawaii, no threat to land@hawaiinewsnow · 3 days agoThe National Hurricane Center said Pena should remain on a track well south of the Hawaiian Islands. HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - After a lull of tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific, a new tropical storm has formed well…
WEATHER BLOG: Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Central PacificKNWA FOX24 · 3 days agoKNWA/KFTA — Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Central Pacific, making it the 4th storm to do so there. After a quiet week following Major Hurricane Vance’s dissipation, Pena slowly developed and organized into a tropical storm, initially…
Tropical storm develops east of Northern Luzon, remains outside PARDZRH News · 3 days agoA tropical depression being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) has intensified into a tropical storm, the state weather bureau PAGASA said Saturday. In its 8 a.m. update on November 7, PAGASA said the weather…
Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Pacific Ocean south of HawaiiKokomo Tribune · 3 days agoThe U.S. National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Pena has formed in the Pacific Ocean. Pena was centered Friday well south of the Hawaiian islands. A hurricane center advisory says the storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. It…
Tropical Storm Pena forms far southeast of Hawaiʻi, no threat to landKITV Island News · 3 days agoHONOLULU (Island News) -- Tropical Storm Pena has formed well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, but forecasters say the storm poses no threat to land. As of 11 a.m. Friday, Pena was located about 650 miles southeast of South Point on…
Tropical Storm Kyle may form in AtlanticFOX 13 Tampa Bay · 4 days agoFOX 13 Tampa Bay FOX 13 Meteorologist Jim Weber is watching an area in the Atlantic that has a 50% chance of developing over the next week. Weber says it has some subtropical characteristics, which means if it develops it could become…
Tropical Storm Pena has formed in the Pacific Ocean, south of the Hawaiian islandsThe Courier · 3 days agoJet nosedives and erupts into fireball near busy roadway in South Florida. All 9 on board died - Iran's leader says response to attack would have no 'geographic limits,' and other Mideast news - Sullivan, Peltola project confidence while…
Additional Outages Possible As Tropical Storm Moke Arrives, Hawaiian Electric SaysMarketScreener · 3 days agoHAWAIIAN ELECTRIC: * RESTORED POWER TO APPROXIMATELY 3,200 HAWAII ISLAND CUSTOMERS SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING * SAYS AS OF THIS AFTERNOON, ABOUT 6,460 CUSTOMERS REMAIN WITHOUT... Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. Additional Outages Possible…
Tropical Storm Pena forms southeast of Hawaii, poses no threat to landThe Garden Island · 3 days agoPublished 12:05 am Saturday, November 7, 2026 The 5-day track of Tropical Storm Pena is shown. Tropical Storm Pena formed today about 650 miles southeast of the Big Island, but poses no threat to land. As of 11 a.m. today, the storm was…
Tropical Storm Pena Forms Southeast Of HawaiʻiBig Island Video News · 3 days ago(BIVN) – Tropical Storm Pena formed suddenly on Friday to the southeast of Hawaiʻi, where an area of low pressure has been developing over the last few days. As of 11 a.m. on Friday, Pena was located 650 miles southeast of the South Point…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions