What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year? (Central Pacific in 2026)
24%Wale
- Wale24%
- Pena3%▼ 7
- Iona3%
7 more
- Ema2%
- Akoni2%
- Hone2%
- Keli1%
- Ulana1%
- Moke1%▼ 1
- Olana1%▼ 2
Install
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year? (Atlantic in 2026)
The odds
11%Kyle
- Kyle11%▲ 6
- Fay3%▲ 1
- Leah2%▼ 1
- Marco1%
- Dolly1%▼ 1
- Edouard1%▼ 1
- Gonzalo1%▼ 1
- Hanna1%▼ 2
- Josephine1%▼ 1
- Nana1%
- Omar1%
- Paulette1%▼ 1
5 more
- Rene1%▼ 1
- Sally1%
- Teddy1%
- Vicky1%
- Wilfred1%
How the odds have moved
Kyle: 18% on Oct 20, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Isaias | 99% | $1.01 | 13.0K | |||
| Kyle | 11% | ▲ 6 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 8.7K |
| Bertha | 4% | $25.00 | 3.7K | |||
| Fay | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 141.9K |
| Arthur | 2% | $50.00 | 2.1K | |||
| Leah | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.8K | |
| Cristobal | 1% | $100.00 | 287 | |||
| Marco | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 997 | ||
| Dolly | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 13.7K | |
| Edouard | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.3K | |
| Gonzalo | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.4K | |
| Hanna | 1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.8K | |
| Josephine | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 17.5K | |
| Nana | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 336 | ||
| Omar | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 95.00 | ||
| Paulette | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 464 | |
| Rene | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.9K | |
| Sally | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 194 | ||
| Teddy | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 187 | ||
| Vicky | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 187 | ||
| Wilfred | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 256 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Atlantic
Search ›- Tropical Storm Pena forms well southeast of Hawaii, no threat to landThe National Hurricane Center said Pena should remain on a track well south of the Hawaiian Islands. HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - After a lull of tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific, a new tropical storm has formed well…
- WEATHER BLOG: Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Central PacificKNWA/KFTA — Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Central Pacific, making it the 4th storm to do so there. After a quiet week following Major Hurricane Vance’s dissipation, Pena slowly developed and organized into a tropical storm, initially…
- Tropical storm develops east of Northern Luzon, remains outside PARA tropical depression being monitored outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) has intensified into a tropical storm, the state weather bureau PAGASA said Saturday. In its 8 a.m. update on November 7, PAGASA said the weather…
- Tropical Storm Pena forms in the Pacific Ocean south of HawaiiThe U.S. National Hurricane Center says Tropical Storm Pena has formed in the Pacific Ocean. Pena was centered Friday well south of the Hawaiian islands. A hurricane center advisory says the storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. It…
- Pena becomes first November tropical storm to form in Central Pacific since 1982 amid intensifying El NiñoTropical Storm Pena formed in the Central Pacific well south of Hawaii. Pena could strengthen into the basin's 14th hurricane of the year. El Niño has fueled a hyperactive Pacific hurricane season. There are some signals that El Niño could…
- Tropical Storm Pena forms far southeast of Hawaiʻi, no threat to landHONOLULU (Island News) -- Tropical Storm Pena has formed well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, but forecasters say the storm poses no threat to land. As of 11 a.m. Friday, Pena was located about 650 miles southeast of South Point on…
- Tropical Storm Kyle may form in AtlanticFOX 13 Tampa Bay FOX 13 Meteorologist Jim Weber is watching an area in the Atlantic that has a 50% chance of developing over the next week. Weber says it has some subtropical characteristics, which means if it develops it could become…
- Tropical Storm Pena has formed in the Pacific Ocean, south of the Hawaiian islandsJet nosedives and erupts into fireball near busy roadway in South Florida. All 9 on board died - Iran's leader says response to attack would have no 'geographic limits,' and other Mideast news - Sullivan, Peltola project confidence while…
- Additional Outages Possible As Tropical Storm Moke Arrives, Hawaiian Electric SaysHAWAIIAN ELECTRIC: * RESTORED POWER TO APPROXIMATELY 3,200 HAWAII ISLAND CUSTOMERS SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING * SAYS AS OF THIS AFTERNOON, ABOUT 6,460 CUSTOMERS REMAIN WITHOUT... Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. Additional Outages Possible…
- Tropical Storm Pena forms southeast of Hawaii, poses no threat to landPublished 12:05 am Saturday, November 7, 2026 The 5-day track of Tropical Storm Pena is shown. Tropical Storm Pena formed today about 650 miles southeast of the Big Island, but poses no threat to land. As of 11 a.m. today, the storm was…
- St. Johns River flooding near Cocoa could rival Tropical Storm Fay as residents brace for floodWKMG St. Johns River flooding near Cocoa could rival Tropical Storm Fay as residents brace for flood The rain has moved on. The water hasn’t. Along the St. Johns River west of Cocoa, rising floodwaters are swallowing docks, covering…
- Tropical Storm Pena Forms Southeast Of Hawaiʻi(BIVN) – Tropical Storm Pena formed suddenly on Friday to the southeast of Hawaiʻi, where an area of low pressure has been developing over the last few days. As of 11 a.m. on Friday, Pena was located 650 miles southeast of the South Point…
Related markets
All hurricanes & storms ›What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
12%Winnie
- Winnie12%
- Xavier8%
- Lowell5%
7 more
- Yolanda5%
- Zeke3%
- Douglas1%▼ 1
- Elida1%
- Iselle1%
- Julio1%
- Norbert1%
Atlantic Tropical Storms (Dec 2026)
9.58median
818
Median 9.58Middle half 9.20 – 9.95
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
20.7median
1828
Median 20.7
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
14%Above 10
835
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
6%Above 1
08
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions