Install
US Consumer Confidence Index (Dec 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 89.7 on Oct 20, 89.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 64 | 72% | $1.39 | ||||
| Above 72 | 72% | $1.39 | 120 | |||
| Above 80 | 72% | $1.39 | 420 | |||
| Above 84 | 72% | $1.39 | 500 | |||
| Above 88 | 72% | $1.39 | 510 | |||
| Above 92 | 21% | $4.76 | 210 | |||
| Above 96 | <1% | |||||
| Above 100 | <1% | |||||
| Above 104 | <1% | |||||
| Above 108 | <1% | |||||
| Above 112 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Consumer Confidence Index
Search ›- U.S. October Jobs Report: 65,000 NFP Gain in Focus; Will December Rate-Hike Expectations Hold at 80%?What draws focus in this release is how long any directional move in the dollar can be sustained if the data land in line with expectations. Markets have priced in roughly an 80% chance of a December rate hike, and a reading within the…
- HIRI Notes Record Sales, Rising Mortgage Rates and Contractor Challenges in Economic UpdateAnnie joined the NHPA staff in 2024 as a content development coordinator on the editorial team. Annie was born and raised in the Indianapolis area and graduated from Lipscomb University with a B.B.A. in Marketing. Her favorite hobbies…
- UK consumer confidence tumblesBritish consumer confidence has suffered its sharpest month-on-month fall since early in the Covid-19 pandemic as economic worries deepen, according to a survey that created an unwelcome backdrop for finance minister John Healey’s budget…
- US economy under Donald Trump in five chartsA nervous US electorate is heading to polling stations across the country for Tuesday's midterm elections, and their personal finances could determine which way control in Congress swings. Recent polling suggests President Donald Trump's…
- Today is tomorrow. There are no more tomorrowsThere is a clear path to victory if Republicans that answered an NBC poll vote. NBC – no friend of America- found Republicans are trusted more on the economy, fighting corruption, and controlling illegal immigration. The October Consumer…
- Escaped youth tracked by Eagle helicopter, found hiding in New BrightonNew Zealand retailers are heading into the busy Christmas shopping season with renewed optimism, despite rising fuel prices, a weak dollar and pressure on household budgets. Retail NZ’s latest Retail Radar report found 73.7 percent of…
- BMBI reports August builders’ merchant sales up 0.5% as volumes fallThe voice of the timber industry since 1873 Timber & Joinery Products saw modest gains in August, while Heavy Building Materials remained the weakest-performing category. UK builders’ merchants recorded a 0.5% year-on-year increase in…
- Wholesale and retail sector loses almost a quarter of workforce in one yearThe wholesale and retail trade sector, Macau’s second-largest employer after gaming, saw employment fall 23.2 per cent year-on-year from around 44,400 to roughly 34,100 workers in the third quarter of 2026, according to official figures…
- Are Consumer ETFs Well-Positioned Ahead of Holiday Season?The U.S. economy expanded at a robust pace in the third quarter, supported by strong investment, consumer spending and government outlays. Gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 3.4%, according to the initial estimate…
- Japan Consumer Confidence Index below forecasts (35.1) in October: Actual (35)Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market. Find independent, trusted…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›US recession by end of 2026?
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Will Iowa corn production rise YoY? (2026)
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY? (January 1, 2027)
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions