Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey
$11,875median
$11,000$12,250
Median $11,875
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US Industrial Production (Dec 2026)
The odds
1.08%median
-16.5%12.5%
Median 1.08%Middle half -0.77% – 2.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.24% on Oct 20, 1.08% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -14.5% | 99% | $1.01 | 120 | |||
| Above -12.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 170 | |||
| Above -10.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 370 | |||
| Above -8.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 630 | |||
| Above -6.5% | 95% | $1.06 | 900 | |||
| Above -4.5% | 95% | $1.06 | 1.1K | |||
| Above -2.5% | 90% | $1.11 | 1.2K | |||
| Above 0.5% | 64% | $1.56 | 1.8K | |||
| Above 2.5% | 16% | $6.25 | 120 | |||
| Above 4.5% | 16% | $6.25 | ||||
| Above 6.5% | 7% | $14.29 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 8.5% | 6% | $16.67 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 10.5% | 2% | $50.00 | 80.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Industrial Production
Search ›- Germany's Industrial Production rises 0.7% MoM in September, beats 0% estimatesIndustrial Output, in the Eurozone’s economic powerhouse, climbed by 0.7% over the month in September, the federal statistics authority Destatis showed on Wednesday in figures adjusted for seasonal and calendar effects. This figure…
- Eurostat Updates EU Industrial Production Data for August 2026Eurostat's updated TEIIS080 data shows EU industrial production excluding construction at 99.9 in August 2026, a 0.3% monthly decline and 0.2% annual drop, remaining below the 2021 baseline of 100. Eurostat has updated its dataset on total…
- Denmark Industrial Production (MoM) rose from previous 0.9% to 4.8% in SeptemberAUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar…
- Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) registered at 0.7% above expectations (0%) in SeptemberAUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar…
- Germany Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY) above expectations (0%) in September: Actual (0.4%)AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar…
- EU Industrial Production Edges Lower in August 2026, Eurostat ReportsEurostat's latest TEIIS080 update shows EU industrial production excluding construction slipped 0.3% in August 2026, with the index at 99.9 and the annual change at -0.2%, signaling a modest end-of-summer contraction. Eurostat reported on…
- Vietnam Industrial Production Extends Growth in OctoberVietnam's industrial production continued its positive growth trend in October, according to the National Statistics Office. The industrial production index for the month is estimated to have risen 2.3 percent from September and 15.0…
- Actors, technology and geography: arenas of political economy for industrial decarbonisation policy in the United KingdomOnce these resources have been determined at the macro-level, a second arena involves the distribution of policy benefits across different types of technology and decarbonisation solutions. Industrial production typically involves multiple…
- Industrial output rose in September for the third month in a rowIn September, 68.4% of the total production of manufacturing was sold to the external market. This share was a little lower in August. It has not been this high since March this year (68.6%). Compared with September 2025, the sales of…
- Germany: Orders hint at recovery – CommerzbankCommerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that new orders in German industry rose sharply in September, with core orders excluding big ticket items also gaining strongly. He argues that this may mark the start of an upward trend in core…
- Selection Guide for Jgmaker's Certified PLA Filament Manufacturer: Focus on ISO - Ensures Batch-to-Batch PLA ConsistencyAdditive manufacturing has transitioned from a rapid prototyping convenience into a core component of short-run industrial production, educational tooling, and Selection Guide for Jgmaker's Certified PLA Filament Manufacturer: Focus on ISO…
- Brazil Pauses Rate Cuts at 13.75% as Stocks Rise 1.2% | Morning Call, Nov 5Brazil’s central bank has put its rate-cutting on pause, and the market now has to guess for how long. The Copom, the bank’s rate-setting committee, held the Selic at 13.75% on Wednesday and said nothing about what it will do next. That…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions