NC-03 House winner?
85%Raymond Smith Jr.
- Raymond Smith Jr.85%▲ 1
- Greg Murphy15%
Install
2028 House winner
The odds
80%Democratic party
- Democratic party80%
- Republican party21%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 75% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 52.5K | |
| Republican party | 21% | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 26.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House
Search ›- House Democrats debate their agendaHakeem Jeffries will have the largest House majority in decades next year, and he’s gearing up to use it. In comments to reporters Wednesday afternoon, Jeffries, set to be the country’s first Black speaker, said his caucus “made a promise…
- Democrats’ House majority is trending toward historicThe 2026 midterm elections have clearly been very good for Democrats across the board. But their House majority is trending toward historic numbers. CNN is projecting that Democrats have won more than 250 House seats, with a net gain of…
- Exclusive / Democrats weigh future of House China panelHouse Democrats are debating the future of the chamber’s select panel on US-China competition. One option for overhauling the committee, according to people familiar with the situation, is broadening its focus beyond China to explore…
- Idaho U.S. House Election Live Results 2026AP News Idaho U.S. House results: AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
- Michigan House elects new leadership as Democrats reclaim majorityNovember 5, 2026 / 10:08 PM EST / CBS Detroit The Michigan House announced its new leadership on Thursday as the Democratic Party reclaimed the majority in the 2026 midterm election. Rep. Ranjeev Puri (D-Canton) was named the House Speaker…
- Melania Trump welcomes Russian, Ukrainian officials to the White HouseCBS News Melania Trump welcomes Russian, Ukrainian officials to the White House More details released about Texas Gov.-elect Gina Hinojosa’s transition team Bomb threats disrupt more than 20 flights across Europe Fort Worth's Colonial…
- Houchin challenges McClain for House GOP conference chairby Sudiksha Kochi 11/05/26 11:36 AM ET Rep. Erin Houchin (R-Ind.) is challenging House GOP conference Chair Lisa McClain (R-Mich.) for the role, which will be central as Republicans work to sharpen their messaging in the minority next year…
- Withdrawn candidate wins Texas House race in Tarrant CountyA disputed Texas House District 93 race in northern Tarrant County is raising questions after a candidate withdrew in late September amid concerns about her eligibility to serve, leaving uncertainty about what happens next. Withdrawn…
- Democrats flip 4 more seats in the House, CNN projectsThe party is approaching 250 seats in the House, while two Senate races — in Mississippi and Alaska — have yet to be called. • What we’re tracking: Democrats flipped four additional seats in the House, CNN projects and could win their…
- Knives Are Out in the White HousePresident Donald Trump’s aides were reeling from the scale of Republican losses on Tuesday night, but they almost immediately began figuring out who to blame. The ultimate responsibility, officials acknowledged only in private, lay with…
- Democrats on verge of biggest House gain since Watergate wipeoutCNN Democrats on verge of biggest House gain since Watergate wipeout The blue wave continues with Democrats now just two seats away from their biggest win in the House since the Watergate wipeout of Republicans in 1974.
- Here's the caucus breakdown of Democrats' new House majorityWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
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>99%Eileen Laubacher
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>99%Eli Crane (R)
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
250.5median
207252
Median 250.5Middle half 249.7 – 251.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions