Will Obamacare be repealed? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $2.2K traded · $794 at stake · prices read 31 min ago

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The odds

22%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 16% on Oct 20, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 8 PM ET16% → 23%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 22% 21¢ 23¢ $4.35 10.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Obamacare

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  • 11 Insurers Are Leaving Obamacare Markets for 2027. Is Yours One of Them?Money Talks News · 4 days agoIf your insurer is leaving and you do nothing by Dec. 15, a plan you didn't choose could start Jan. 1. Published Oct. 26, 2026 If you buy your own health insurance, there’s a real chance the company that covers you today won’t be covering…
  • Your Cheap Obamacare Plan Now Comes With a Tax Break. Here’s How to Use It.Money Talks News · 4 days agoThe cheapest health plans on HealthCare.gov now come with a tax perk. Rule No. 2 could still pay off for this year. Published Nov. 6, 2026 For years, buying the cheapest plan on HealthCare.gov meant you got the big deductible and none of…
  • Obamacare Continues to Haunt Idaho, but Who Pays the Piper?Idaho Freedom · 5 days agoLast fall we commented on how school health benefits costs continue to explode, but now the issue has taken on a new twist with the insolvency. The immediate question beyond participation and various groups is why did the financial posture…
  • Obamacare sign-ups open with new eligibility rules, higher ratesChannel 13 Las Vegas News KTNV · 5 days agoktnv.com Obamacare sign-ups open with new eligibility rules, higher rates
  • Obamacare Costs Climb Making Public Healthcare Unaffordable For ManyBlack Enterprise · 6 days agoConsumers who no longer qualify for financial assistance face some of the greatest challenges. The rising costs follow the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic under former President Joe Biden…
  • Obamacare shrinks as enrollment opens for 2027KIRO 7 News Seattle · 7 days agoKIRO 7 News Seattle Boil water notice issued for parts of Fall City including 2 schools European grocery stores hit by cyberattack with freezers set to 120 degrees British Columbia keeping Daylight Saving Time could impact cross-border…
  • Obamacare Premiums to Rise by Double Digits in 2027@WordAndBrownGA · 6 days agoThe sign-up window for the marketplace, also known as Obamacare, started Nov. 1 in most states and runs through Jan. 15. Big changes to the exchange include expiring financial assistance, rising rates, potential delays in working with a…
  • GOP Looks to Boost Obamacare Alternatives in Individual Market@BLaw · 7 days agoBloomberg Law News A forthcoming proposed rule will expand employers’ ability to help workers pay for health insurance in the individual market, boosting the one major surviving insurance policy from President Donald Trump’s first term…
  • Obamacare premiums expected to jump next yearAtlanta News First · 7 days agoAtlanta News First Obamacare premiums expected to jump next year
  • Obamacare Benchmark Premiums Jump 13% to $704 a Month as 2027 Enrollment Opens@cdnnow · 7 days agoThe average benchmark Obamacare plan will cost $704 a month for a 40-year-old before subsidies in 2027, according to KFF data, as marketplace premiums climb by double digits for a second straight year. Finalized benchmark silver premiums…
  • Obamacare continues to shrink as enrollment opens for 2027Houston Style Magazine · 7 days agoHolly Hendricks, who is battling an autoimmune disease that leaves her with open wounds down to the muscle, did everything she could to maintain her Affordable Care Act coverage after the enhanced premium subsidies lapsed at the start of…
  • It’s here: 2027 Obamacare enrollmentThe Miami Times · 7 days agoIn the first three years after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the constitutional right to an abortion in June 2022, more than 900 women faced criminal charges for conduct related to their pregnancies, according to a new report. You…

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