Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2028 · $3.9K traded · $3.9K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

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The odds

94%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 86% on Nov 7, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 94% 92¢ 95¢ $1.05 4.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: House

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  • House GOP gears up for leadership reshufflingsemafor.com · 17 h agoHouse Republicans will see a post-election reshuffling this week, with every senior rung of their leadership facing competition — and President Donald Trump is staying out of it. Reps. Jim Jordan of Ohio and current Majority Leader Steve…
  • Mississippi U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 19 h agoThe expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information ... After a historic wave of…
  • Arizona Republican holds House seat, surviving re-election scareFox News · 7 h agoChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram joins 'Fox Report’ to discuss how the newest members of Congress descended on Capitol Hill today. Pergram says new members outlined their legislative priorities such as agricultural economy…
  • WATCH LIVE: U.S. House of Representatives holds floor proceedingsFox News · 11 h agoLawmakers return to Capitol Hill after a seven-week recess following the midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: U.S. House of Representatives holds floor proceedings Lawmakers return to Capitol Hill after a seven-week recess following the midterm…
  • Lauren Boebert, Trump Ally, Loses Colorado House Race, CNN ProjectsNewsweek · 5 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 03:29 PM EST Nov 09, 2026 at 03:44 PM EST Republican incumbent Representative and longtime Trump ally Lauren Boebert is projected to lose her reelection bid for Colorado's 4th Congressional District to Democratic challenger…
  • WATCH LIVE: House of Representatives Committee on Rules holds meetingFox News · 6 h agoHouse lawmakers meet to set debate terms and advance upcoming legislation to the floor as leaders negotiate key priorities. WATCH LIVE: House of Representatives Committee on Rules holds meeting House lawmakers meet to set debate terms and…
  • Hakeem Jeffries faces progressive demands ahead of House leadership voteFox News · 9 h agoChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on upcoming congressional leadership elections and progressive demands. Jeremy Hunt and Richard Fowler discuss Democratic divisions and the 2028 presidential race on 'The Faulkner…
  • Hegseth impeachment effort begins in House, focused on Iran warThe Washington Post · 7 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Republican Rep. Thomas…
  • Late votes change Georgia House race lead; longtime DA resignsCBS News · 14 h agoGeorgia officials are investigating late vote uploads in Seminole County that changed the unofficial leader in a state House race. Separately, longtime Hall and Dawson County District Attorney Lee Darragh is resigning, with Jennifer…
  • WATCH LIVE: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a press conferenceFox News · 7 h agoHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a press conference as Congress returns to Washington D.C. WATCH LIVE: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a press conference House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries holds a press conference…
  • White House doctor says President Trump is in "excellent" healthCBS News · 26 h agoUpdated on: January 16, 2018 / 6:20 PM EST / CBS News Rear Adm. Ronny Jackson, M.D., the official physician to the president, gave President Trump a clean bill of health Tuesday afternoon during the White House press briefing. Jackson…
  • What happens if there's a tie vote in the House?CBS News · 39 h agoUpdated on: July 2, 2025 / 10:33 PM EDT / CBS News The House began voting July 2, 2025, on whether to open debate for a sprawling Trump-backed domestic spending bill, but some GOP holdouts could endanger its passage. With such close…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions