When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $11 today · $1.2K traded · $447 at stake · prices read 45 min ago

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The odds

46%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Jan 1, 20276%▼ 6
  • Before Jul 1, 202733%▼ 4
  • Before Jan 1, 202846%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 6% ▼ 6 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.4K
Before Jul 1, 2027 33% ▼ 4 29¢ 36¢ $2.78 548
Before Jan 1, 2028 46% ▼ 3 42¢ 50¢ $2.00 1.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mandatory

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  • Minnesota’s deer gun season opens Saturday, with mandatory chronic wasting disease testing in partCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota’s deer…
  • Waste Tax Payment Made Mandatory Across PunjabUrduPoint · 4 days agoFaizan Hashmi Published November 06, 2026 | 03:36 PM Citizens who fail to pay the waste tax will be unable to buy or sell property as authorities decide to stop issuing NOCs, while housing societies and towns will be exempt because their…
  • Air Suvidha Form Mandatory for All India ArrivalsM9.news · 3 days agoAll international travelers arriving to India now have to complete the Air Suvidha form. This includes all Indian passport holders, OCI cardholders, as well as foreign nationals. This form has become mandatory for health screening…
  • DOL Finalizes Mandatory Electronic Filing for Administrative HearingsErickson Immigration Group · 3 days agoThe U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) has finalized a rule requiring electronic filing (e-filing) in proceedings before the Office of Administrative Law Judges (OALJ), marking a significant modernization of the agency’s hearing procedures…
  • The EU KIDS Act: From moderation to mandatory designThe National Law Review · 3 days agoThere is no size threshold and small and micro enterprises are not exempted; only a closed list of low-risk services (such as not-for-profit encyclopedias, educational services and services run by public authorities) falls outside. The…
  • UK proposes mandatory human rights checks for retailersRetail Insight Network · 4 days agoThe UK plans mandatory human rights checks for large retailers and new powers to remove forced labour goods from the market. Proposed legislation would require large businesses to identify and address human rights risks in their supply…
  • Mandatory TIN rule put off until April 2027Daily Mirror - Sri Lanka · 4 days agoThu, 05 Nov 2026 Today's Paper Colombo, Nov. 5 (Daily Mirror) - The Inland Revenue Department has deferred the mandatory submission of Taxpayer Identification Number (TIN) certificates for eight specified transactions until April 1, 2027…
  • Mandatory TIN submission for specific transactions put offisland.lk · 4 days agoBatting frailties give Sri Lanka food for thought Three crucial knockout matches today World record 53 red cards shown in Brazilian youth game Vadodara and Mumbai to host WPL 2027 Mendis and Udara steady ship with warm-up fifties Amidst…
  • Texas needs mandatory reporting, patient safety coursesDallas News · 4 days agoKudos to our newsroom colleague Emily Brindley and her work in the investigative series “Under the Knife” that looks into extreme surgery errors in Texas. Sometimes referred to as “never events,” these errors fall into a few categories —…
  • Sage Issues Mandatory Security Update for ENDECSRadio World · 4 days agoHome › Tech and Gear›Radio IT Management It removes compromised eMudhra root certificates and resolves other issues Sage Alerting Systems has notified users of Sage Digital ENDECs of a mandatory security update. The product is used at many…
  • Punjab Makes Garbage Tax Collection Mandatory, Adds It To Water BillsUrduPoint · 4 days agoMian Nadeem Published November 06, 2026 | 05:45 PM Citizens have expressed anger over the garbage tax being added to water bills despite inadequate sanitation; Rs24 million was collected in two months, excise officials said. LAHORE…
  • Court rules Adirondack lake capacity studies are optional, not mandatoryAdirondack Explorer · 3 days agoA state appellate court dealt a blow to environmental advocates, ruling this week that long-requested carrying-capacity studies for Adirondack lakes are “aspirational” planning goals rather than mandatory legal duties. The decision gives…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions